Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis Levered
The Aaron's Company, Inc. (AAN)
$12.89
+0.64 (+5.22%)
All numbers are in Millions, Currency in USD
Free Cash Flow
Year A/P | 2018 Actual | 2019 Actual | 2020 Actual | 2021 Actual | 2022 Actual | 2023 Projected | 2024 Projected | 2025 Projected | 2026 Projected | 2027 Projected |
Revenue | 1,794.72 | 1,784.48 | 1,734.92 | 1,845.50 | 2,249.43 | 2,389.54 | 2,538.37 | 2,696.47 | 2,864.42 | 3,042.82 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Revenue (%) | ||||||||||
Operating Cash Flow | 186.54 | 185.98 | 355.77 | 136.04 | 170.43 | 268.92 | 285.67 | 303.46 | 322.36 | 342.44 |
Operating Cash Flow (%) | ||||||||||
Capital Expenditure | -67.10 | -79.93 | -69.04 | -92.70 | -107.98 | -105.24 | -111.79 | -118.76 | -126.15 | -134.01 |
Capital Expenditure (%) | ||||||||||
Free Cash Flow | 119.44 | 106.04 | 286.73 | 43.34 | 62.45 | 163.68 | 173.87 | 184.70 | 196.21 | 208.43 |
Weighted Average Cost Of Capital
Share price | $ 12.89 |
---|---|
Beta | 1.011 |
Diluted Shares Outstanding | 30.88 |
Cost of Debt | |
Tax Rate | 64.19 |
After-tax Cost of Debt | 0.48% |
Risk-Free Rate | |
Market Risk Premium | |
Cost of Equity | 8.461 |
Total Debt | 738.81 |
Total Equity | 398.06 |
Total Capital | 1,136.87 |
Debt Weighting | 64.99 |
Equity Weighting | 35.01 |
Wacc |
Build Up Free Cash Flow
Year A/P | 2018 Actual | 2019 Actual | 2020 Actual | 2021 Actual | 2022 Actual | 2023 Projected | 2024 Projected | 2025 Projected | 2026 Projected | 2027 Projected |
Revenue | 1,794.72 | 1,784.48 | 1,734.92 | 1,845.50 | 2,249.43 | 2,389.54 | 2,538.37 | 2,696.47 | 2,864.42 | 3,042.82 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Operating Cash Flow | 186.54 | 185.98 | 355.77 | 136.04 | 170.43 | 268.92 | 285.67 | 303.46 | 322.36 | 342.44 |
Capital Expenditure | -67.10 | -79.93 | -69.04 | -92.70 | -107.98 | -105.24 | -111.79 | -118.76 | -126.15 | -134.01 |
Free Cash Flow | 119.44 | 106.04 | 286.73 | 43.34 | 62.45 | 163.68 | 173.87 | 184.70 | 196.21 | 208.43 |
WACC | ||||||||||
PV LFCF | 158.50 | 163.04 | 167.71 | 172.51 | 177.45 | |||||
SUM PV LFCF | 839.21 |
Terminal Value
Growth in perpetuity method: | |
---|---|
Long-term growth rate | |
WACC (%) | 3.27 |
Free cash flow (t + 1) | 212.60 |
Terminal Value | 16,739.93 |
Present Value of Terminal Value | 14,252.23 |
Intrinsic Value
Enterprise Value | 15,091.44 |
---|---|
Net Debt | 711.10 |
Equity Value | 14,380.34 |
Shares Outstanding | 30.88 |
Equity Value Per Share | 465.67 |