Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis Levered

Advicenne S.A. (ADVIC.PA)

6.5 €

0.00 (0.00%)

All numbers are in Millions, Currency in USD

Stock DCF: -1,014.82 | 6.5 | overvalue

Free Cash Flow

Year A/P	2015 Actual	2016 Actual	2017 Actual	2018 Actual	2019 Actual	2020 Projected	2021 Projected	2022 Projected	2023 Projected	2024 Projected
Revenue	0.11	0.27	0.81	1.19	2	4.31	9.29	20.03	43.18	93.09
Revenue (%)
Operating Cash Flow	-2.69	0.07	-5.80	-10.18	-20.10	-43.32	-93.39	-201.33	-434.03	-935.67
Operating Cash Flow (%)
Capital Expenditure	-0.16	-0.02	-0.03	-0.14	-0.88	-1.89	-4.08	-8.80	-18.97	-40.89
Capital Expenditure (%)
Free Cash Flow	-2.86	0.04	-5.84	-10.32	-20.97	-45.21	-97.47	-210.13	-452.99	-976.55

Weighted Average Cost Of Capital

Share price	$ 6.5
Beta	1.432
Diluted Shares Outstanding	8.16
Cost of Debt
Tax Rate	5.87
After-tax Cost of Debt	1.30%
Risk-Free Rate
Market Risk Premium
Cost of Equity	10.569
Total Debt	0.45
Total Equity	53.06
Total Capital	53.51
Debt Weighting	0.84
Equity Weighting	99.16
Wacc

Build Up Free Cash Flow

Year A/P	2015 Actual	2016 Actual	2017 Actual	2018 Actual	2019 Actual	2020 Projected	2021 Projected	2022 Projected	2023 Projected	2024 Projected
Revenue	0.11	0.27	0.81	1.19	2	4.31	9.29	20.03	43.18	93.09
Operating Cash Flow	-2.69	0.07	-5.80	-10.18	-20.10	-43.32	-93.39	-201.33	-434.03	-935.67
Capital Expenditure	-0.16	-0.02	-0.03	-0.14	-0.88	-1.89	-4.08	-8.80	-18.97	-40.89
Free Cash Flow	-2.86	0.04	-5.84	-10.32	-20.97	-45.21	-97.47	-210.13	-452.99	-976.55
WACC
PV LFCF						-24.85	-48.49	-94.60	-184.58	-360.14
SUM PV LFCF										-1,173.53

Terminal Value

Growth in perpetuity method:
Long-term growth rate
WACC (%)	10.49
Free cash flow (t + 1)	-996.08
Terminal Value	-11,732.44
Present Value of Terminal Value	-7,124.81

Intrinsic Value

Enterprise Value	-8,298.34
Net Debt	-13.96
Equity Value	-8,284.38
Shares Outstanding	8.16
Equity Value Per Share	-1,014.82