Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis Levered

Ag Growth International Inc. (AFN.TO)

$51.82

+1.07 (+2.11%)
All numbers are in Millions, Currency in USD
Stock DCF: -30.31 | 51.82 | overvalue

Free Cash Flow

Year
A/P
2018
Actual
2019
Actual
2020
Actual
2021
Actual
2022
Actual
2023
Projected
2024
Projected
2025
Projected
2026
Projected
2027
Projected
Revenue 931.66995.79994.031,198.521,458.081,636.461,836.662,061.352,313.532,596.56
Revenue (%)
Operating Cash Flow 41.1940.4274.1739.11102.1785.7996.29108.07121.29136.12
Operating Cash Flow (%)
Capital Expenditure -43.95-61.80-40.13-45.57-52.30-73.14-82.09-92.14-103.41-116.06
Capital Expenditure (%)
Free Cash Flow -2.76-21.3834.04-6.4549.8712.6514.1915.9317.8820.07

Weighted Average Cost Of Capital

Share price $ 51.82
Beta 2.285
Diluted Shares Outstanding 21.88
Cost of Debt
Tax Rate -11.63
After-tax Cost of Debt 6.66%
Risk-Free Rate
Market Risk Premium
Cost of Equity 14.476
Total Debt 916.32
Total Equity 1,133.65
Total Capital 2,049.97
Debt Weighting 44.70
Equity Weighting 55.30
Wacc

Build Up Free Cash Flow

Year
A/P
2018
Actual
2019
Actual
2020
Actual
2021
Actual
2022
Actual
2023
Projected
2024
Projected
2025
Projected
2026
Projected
2027
Projected
Revenue 931.66995.79994.031,198.521,458.081,636.461,836.662,061.352,313.532,596.56
Operating Cash Flow 41.1940.4274.1739.11102.1785.7996.29108.07121.29136.12
Capital Expenditure -43.95-61.80-40.13-45.57-52.30-73.14-82.09-92.14-103.41-116.06
Free Cash Flow -2.76-21.3834.04-6.4549.8712.6514.1915.9317.8820.07
WACC
PV LFCF 11.4011.5211.6611.7911.92
SUM PV LFCF 58.28

Terminal Value

Growth in perpetuity method:
Long-term growth rate
WACC (%) 10.98
Free cash flow (t + 1) 20.47
Terminal Value 227.94
Present Value of Terminal Value 135.39

Intrinsic Value

Enterprise Value 193.68
Net Debt 856.67
Equity Value -662.99
Shares Outstanding 21.88
Equity Value Per Share -30.31