Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis Levered

Alstom SA (ALO.PA)

27.19 €

+0.18 (+0.67%)
Financial Summary
Financial Statements
Quarter Financials
Chart
Financial Ratios
Profile
Historical Data
DCFDCF Levered
All numbers are in Millions, Currency in USD
Stock DCF: -69.01 | 27.19 | overvalue

Free Cash Flow

Year
A/P
2018
Actual
2019
Actual
2020
Actual
2021
Actual
2022
Actual
2023
Projected
2024
Projected
2025
Projected
2026
Projected
2027
Projected
Revenue 7,9518,0728,2018,78515,47118,810.7322,871.4027,808.6533,811.7041,110.64
Revenue (%)
Operating Cash Flow 408425476-455-577274.33333.55405.55493.10599.55
Operating Cash Flow (%)
Capital Expenditure -283-275-274-265-428-605.34-736.01-894.89-1,088.07-1,322.95
Capital Expenditure (%)
Free Cash Flow 125150202-720-1,005-331-402.46-489.34-594.97-723.41

Weighted Average Cost Of Capital

Share price $ 27.19
Beta 1.058
Diluted Shares Outstanding 263.60
Cost of Debt
Tax Rate -220.99
After-tax Cost of Debt 1.00%
Risk-Free Rate
Market Risk Premium
Cost of Equity 8.776
Total Debt 3,685
Total Equity 7,167.24
Total Capital 10,852.24
Debt Weighting 33.96
Equity Weighting 66.04
Wacc

Build Up Free Cash Flow

Year
A/P
2018
Actual
2019
Actual
2020
Actual
2021
Actual
2022
Actual
2023
Projected
2024
Projected
2025
Projected
2026
Projected
2027
Projected
Revenue 7,9518,0728,2018,78515,47118,810.7322,871.4027,808.6533,811.7041,110.64
Operating Cash Flow 408425476-455-577274.33333.55405.55493.10599.55
Capital Expenditure -283-275-274-265-428-605.34-736.01-894.89-1,088.07-1,322.95
Free Cash Flow 125150202-720-1,005-331-402.46-489.34-594.97-723.41
WACC
PV LFCF -311.86-357.24-409.23-468.79-537.02
SUM PV LFCF -2,084.14

Terminal Value

Growth in perpetuity method:
Long-term growth rate
WACC (%) 6.14
Free cash flow (t + 1) -737.87
Terminal Value -17,823.06
Present Value of Terminal Value -13,230.82

Intrinsic Value

Enterprise Value -15,314.96
Net Debt 2,875
Equity Value -18,189.96
Shares Outstanding 263.60
Equity Value Per Share -69.01