Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis Levered
UPERGY Société Anonyme (ALUPG.PA)
3.56 €
+0.02 (+0.56%)
All numbers are in Millions, Currency in USD
Free Cash Flow
Year A/P | 2017 Actual | 2018 Actual | 2019 Actual | 2020 Actual | 2021 Actual | 2022 Projected | 2023 Projected | 2024 Projected | 2025 Projected | 2026 Projected |
| Revenue | 43.98 | 43.02 | 44.24 | 42.57 | 44.45 | 44.59 | 44.74 | 44.88 | 45.03 | 45.17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue (%) | ||||||||||
| Operating Cash Flow | -1.29 | 0.26 | -0.57 | 1.64 | -0.76 | -0.13 | -0.13 | -0.13 | -0.13 | -0.13 |
| Operating Cash Flow (%) | ||||||||||
| Capital Expenditure | -0.43 | -0.47 | -0.53 | -0.30 | -0.68 | -0.49 | -0.49 | -0.49 | -0.49 | -0.50 |
| Capital Expenditure (%) | ||||||||||
| Free Cash Flow | -1.72 | -0.20 | -1.10 | 1.33 | -1.44 | -0.62 | -0.62 | -0.63 | -0.63 | -0.63 |
Weighted Average Cost Of Capital
| Share price | $ 3.56 |
|---|---|
| Beta | 0.344 |
| Diluted Shares Outstanding | 4.66 |
| Cost of Debt | |
| Tax Rate | 18.43 |
| After-tax Cost of Debt | 1.14% |
| Risk-Free Rate | |
| Market Risk Premium | |
| Cost of Equity | 5.001 |
| Total Debt | 8.84 |
| Total Equity | 16.59 |
| Total Capital | 25.42 |
| Debt Weighting | 34.76 |
| Equity Weighting | 65.24 |
| Wacc |
Build Up Free Cash Flow
Year A/P | 2017 Actual | 2018 Actual | 2019 Actual | 2020 Actual | 2021 Actual | 2022 Projected | 2023 Projected | 2024 Projected | 2025 Projected | 2026 Projected |
| Revenue | 43.98 | 43.02 | 44.24 | 42.57 | 44.45 | 44.59 | 44.74 | 44.88 | 45.03 | 45.17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | -1.29 | 0.26 | -0.57 | 1.64 | -0.76 | -0.13 | -0.13 | -0.13 | -0.13 | -0.13 |
| Capital Expenditure | -0.43 | -0.47 | -0.53 | -0.30 | -0.68 | -0.49 | -0.49 | -0.49 | -0.49 | -0.50 |
| Free Cash Flow | -1.72 | -0.20 | -1.10 | 1.33 | -1.44 | -0.62 | -0.62 | -0.63 | -0.63 | -0.63 |
| WACC | ||||||||||
| PV LFCF | -0.60 | -0.58 | -0.56 | -0.54 | -0.53 | |||||
| SUM PV LFCF | -2.82 |
Terminal Value
| Growth in perpetuity method: | |
|---|---|
| Long-term growth rate | |
| WACC (%) | 3.66 |
| Free cash flow (t + 1) | -0.64 |
| Terminal Value | -38.74 |
| Present Value of Terminal Value | -32.37 |
Intrinsic Value
| Enterprise Value | -35.18 |
|---|---|
| Net Debt | 4.91 |
| Equity Value | -40.09 |
| Shares Outstanding | 4.66 |
| Equity Value Per Share | -8.61 |