Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis Levered

Aperam S.A. (APAM.AS)

24.41 €

+0.22 (+0.91%)
All numbers are in Millions, Currency in USD
Stock DCF: 49.61 | 24.41 | undervalue

Free Cash Flow

Year
A/P
2017
Actual
2018
Actual
2019
Actual
2020
Actual
2021
Actual
2022
Projected
2023
Projected
2024
Projected
2025
Projected
2026
Projected
Revenue 4,210.214,6774,2403,6245,1025,459.135,841.256,250.126,687.617,155.72
Revenue (%)
Operating Cash Flow 366.76295400303550475.97509.28544.93583.07623.89
Operating Cash Flow (%)
Capital Expenditure -155.04-192-151-109-152-189.28-202.53-216.70-231.87-248.10
Capital Expenditure (%)
Free Cash Flow 211.72103249194398286.69306.76328.23351.20375.79

Weighted Average Cost Of Capital

Share price $ 24.41
Beta 2.175
Diluted Shares Outstanding 79.56
Cost of Debt
Tax Rate 7.19
After-tax Cost of Debt 0.94%
Risk-Free Rate
Market Risk Premium
Cost of Equity 14.072
Total Debt 990
Total Equity 1,941.99
Total Capital 2,931.99
Debt Weighting 33.77
Equity Weighting 66.23
Wacc

Build Up Free Cash Flow

Year
A/P
2017
Actual
2018
Actual
2019
Actual
2020
Actual
2021
Actual
2022
Projected
2023
Projected
2024
Projected
2025
Projected
2026
Projected
Revenue 4,210.214,6774,2403,6245,1025,459.135,841.256,250.126,687.617,155.72
Operating Cash Flow 366.76295400303550475.97509.28544.93583.07623.89
Capital Expenditure -155.04-192-151-109-152-189.28-202.53-216.70-231.87-248.10
Free Cash Flow 211.72103249194398286.69306.76328.23351.20375.79
WACC
PV LFCF 261.48255.18249.04243.04237.19
SUM PV LFCF 1,245.94

Terminal Value

Growth in perpetuity method:
Long-term growth rate
WACC (%) 9.64
Free cash flow (t + 1) 383.30
Terminal Value 5,017.03
Present Value of Terminal Value 3,166.66

Intrinsic Value

Enterprise Value 4,412.60
Net Debt 466
Equity Value 3,946.60
Shares Outstanding 79.56
Equity Value Per Share 49.61