Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis Levered

Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc. (ATD-B.TO)

$49.67

+0.78 (+1.60%)
All numbers are in Millions, Currency in USD
Stock DCF: 30.78 | 49.67 | overvalue

Free Cash Flow

Year
A/P
2017
Actual
2018
Actual
2019
Actual
2020
Actual
2021
Actual
2022
Projected
2023
Projected
2024
Projected
2025
Projected
2026
Projected
Revenue 37,904.5051,394.4059,117.6054,132.4045,760.1048,816.5952,077.2355,555.6659,266.4263,225.05
Revenue (%)
Operating Cash Flow 1,925.502,163.103,083.603,720.704,086.602,959.123,156.773,367.623,592.563,832.52
Operating Cash Flow (%)
Capital Expenditure -994.10-1,169.30-1,145.10-1,408.20-1,222.20-1,182.05-1,261-1,345.23-1,435.08-1,530.94
Capital Expenditure (%)
Free Cash Flow 931.40993.801,938.502,312.502,864.401,777.071,895.772,022.392,157.482,301.58

Weighted Average Cost Of Capital

Share price $ 49.67
Beta 0.889
Diluted Shares Outstanding 1,123.30
Cost of Debt
Tax Rate 19.46
After-tax Cost of Debt 3.91%
Risk-Free Rate
Market Risk Premium
Cost of Equity 7.861
Total Debt 6,809.30
Total Equity 55,794.31
Total Capital 62,603.61
Debt Weighting 10.88
Equity Weighting 89.12
Wacc

Build Up Free Cash Flow

Year
A/P
2017
Actual
2018
Actual
2019
Actual
2020
Actual
2021
Actual
2022
Projected
2023
Projected
2024
Projected
2025
Projected
2026
Projected
Revenue 37,904.5051,394.4059,117.6054,132.4045,760.1048,816.5952,077.2355,555.6659,266.4263,225.05
Operating Cash Flow 1,925.502,163.103,083.603,720.704,086.602,959.123,156.773,367.623,592.563,832.52
Capital Expenditure -994.10-1,169.30-1,145.10-1,408.20-1,222.20-1,182.05-1,261-1,345.23-1,435.08-1,530.94
Free Cash Flow 931.40993.801,938.502,312.502,864.401,777.071,895.772,022.392,157.482,301.58
WACC
PV LFCF 1,433.271,423.251,413.311,403.441,393.63
SUM PV LFCF 8,156.05

Terminal Value

Growth in perpetuity method:
Long-term growth rate
WACC (%) 7.43
Free cash flow (t + 1) 2,347.61
Terminal Value 43,234.11
Present Value of Terminal Value 30,213.34

Intrinsic Value

Enterprise Value 38,369.39
Net Debt 3,793.50
Equity Value 34,575.89
Shares Outstanding 1,123.30
Equity Value Per Share 30.78