Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis Levered

Clearfield, Inc. (CLFD)

$39.11

+0.57 (+1.48%)
All numbers are in Millions, Currency in USD
Stock DCF: 63.72 | 39.11 | undervalue

Free Cash Flow

Year
A/P
2018
Actual
2019
Actual
2020
Actual
2021
Actual
2022
Actual
2023
Projected
2024
Projected
2025
Projected
2026
Projected
2027
Projected
Revenue 77.6585.0393.07140.76270.88381.02535.95753.871,060.401,491.56
Revenue (%)
Operating Cash Flow 4.5514.736.6610.90129.3041.2157.9781.54114.70
Operating Cash Flow (%)
Capital Expenditure -1.19-2.51-1.81-2.05-9.15-8.58-12.07-16.97-23.87-33.58
Capital Expenditure (%)
Free Cash Flow 3.3612.224.858.86-8.1520.7229.154157.6781.11

Weighted Average Cost Of Capital

Share price $ 39.11
Beta 1.303
Diluted Shares Outstanding 13.91
Cost of Debt
Tax Rate 22.67
After-tax Cost of Debt 0.65%
Risk-Free Rate
Market Risk Premium
Cost of Equity 9.787
Total Debt 36.85
Total Equity 543.86
Total Capital 580.72
Debt Weighting 6.35
Equity Weighting 93.65
Wacc

Build Up Free Cash Flow

Year
A/P
2018
Actual
2019
Actual
2020
Actual
2021
Actual
2022
Actual
2023
Projected
2024
Projected
2025
Projected
2026
Projected
2027
Projected
Revenue 77.6585.0393.07140.76270.88381.02535.95753.871,060.401,491.56
Operating Cash Flow 4.5514.736.6610.90129.3041.2157.9781.54114.70
Capital Expenditure -1.19-2.51-1.81-2.05-9.15-8.58-12.07-16.97-23.87-33.58
Free Cash Flow 3.3612.224.858.86-8.1520.7229.154157.6781.11
WACC
PV LFCF 18.9724.4431.4840.5452.21
SUM PV LFCF 167.64

Terminal Value

Growth in perpetuity method:
Long-term growth rate
WACC (%) 9.21
Free cash flow (t + 1) 82.74
Terminal Value 1,147.52
Present Value of Terminal Value 738.67

Intrinsic Value

Enterprise Value 906.31
Net Debt 20.20
Equity Value 886.10
Shares Outstanding 13.91
Equity Value Per Share 63.72