Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis Levered

Covivio Hotels (COVH.PA)

17.15 €

+0.10 (+0.59%)

All numbers are in Millions, Currency in USD

Stock DCF: -58.12 | 17.15 | overvalue

Free Cash Flow

Year A/P	2017 Actual	2018 Actual	2019 Actual	2020 Actual	2021 Actual	2022 Projected	2023 Projected	2024 Projected	2025 Projected	2026 Projected
Revenue	208.88	483.42	477.73	250.74	299.44	375.92	471.94	592.48	743.80	933.78
Revenue (%)
Operating Cash Flow	182.47	257.36	276	80.63	158.44	213.10	267.53	335.86	421.64	529.33
Operating Cash Flow (%)
Capital Expenditure	-512.19	-179.43	-88.32	-52.48	-73.75	-260.41	-326.93	-410.43	-515.26	-646.86
Capital Expenditure (%)
Free Cash Flow	-329.72	77.92	187.68	28.15	84.69	-47.32	-59.40	-74.57	-93.62	-117.53

Weighted Average Cost Of Capital

Share price	$ 17.15
Beta	1.092
Diluted Shares Outstanding	129.03
Cost of Debt
Tax Rate	52.35
After-tax Cost of Debt	0.79%
Risk-Free Rate
Market Risk Premium
Cost of Equity	8.846
Total Debt	2,955.10
Total Equity	2,212.86
Total Capital	5,167.96
Debt Weighting	57.18
Equity Weighting	42.82
Wacc

Build Up Free Cash Flow

Year A/P	2017 Actual	2018 Actual	2019 Actual	2020 Actual	2021 Actual	2022 Projected	2023 Projected	2024 Projected	2025 Projected	2026 Projected
Revenue	208.88	483.42	477.73	250.74	299.44	375.92	471.94	592.48	743.80	933.78
Operating Cash Flow	182.47	257.36	276	80.63	158.44	213.10	267.53	335.86	421.64	529.33
Capital Expenditure	-512.19	-179.43	-88.32	-52.48	-73.75	-260.41	-326.93	-410.43	-515.26	-646.86
Free Cash Flow	-329.72	77.92	187.68	28.15	84.69	-47.32	-59.40	-74.57	-93.62	-117.53
WACC
PV LFCF						-45.39	-54.67	-65.84	-79.29	-95.49
SUM PV LFCF										-340.68

Terminal Value

Growth in perpetuity method:
Long-term growth rate
WACC (%)	4.24
Free cash flow (t + 1)	-119.88
Terminal Value	-5,351.82
Present Value of Terminal Value	-4,348.40

Intrinsic Value

Enterprise Value	-4,689.08
Net Debt	2,809.92
Equity Value	-7,499
Shares Outstanding	129.03
Equity Value Per Share	-58.12