Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis Levered
Capstone Copper Corp. (CS.TO)
$6.08
+0.27 (+4.65%)
All numbers are in Millions, Currency in USD
Free Cash Flow
Year A/P | 2018 Actual | 2019 Actual | 2020 Actual | 2021 Actual | 2022 Actual | 2023 Projected | 2024 Projected | 2025 Projected | 2026 Projected | 2027 Projected |
Revenue | 415.89 | 418.66 | 453.76 | 794.77 | 1,296.02 | 1,773.19 | 2,426.04 | 3,319.26 | 4,541.34 | 6,213.36 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Revenue (%) | ||||||||||
Operating Cash Flow | 131.10 | 92.88 | 147.17 | 553.34 | 87.42 | 576.32 | 788.51 | 1,078.83 | 1,476.03 | 2,019.47 |
Operating Cash Flow (%) | ||||||||||
Capital Expenditure | -96.78 | -96.75 | -97.52 | -133.43 | -559.75 | -453.40 | -620.33 | -848.72 | -1,161.20 | -1,588.73 |
Capital Expenditure (%) | ||||||||||
Free Cash Flow | 34.32 | -3.86 | 49.65 | 419.92 | -472.33 | 122.93 | 168.18 | 230.11 | 314.83 | 430.74 |
Weighted Average Cost Of Capital
Share price | $ 6.08 |
---|---|
Beta | 2.117 |
Diluted Shares Outstanding | 630.18 |
Cost of Debt | |
Tax Rate | 36.92 |
After-tax Cost of Debt | 2.68% |
Risk-Free Rate | |
Market Risk Premium | |
Cost of Equity | 14.247 |
Total Debt | 702.97 |
Total Equity | 3,831.49 |
Total Capital | 4,534.46 |
Debt Weighting | 15.50 |
Equity Weighting | 84.50 |
Wacc |
Build Up Free Cash Flow
Year A/P | 2018 Actual | 2019 Actual | 2020 Actual | 2021 Actual | 2022 Actual | 2023 Projected | 2024 Projected | 2025 Projected | 2026 Projected | 2027 Projected |
Revenue | 415.89 | 418.66 | 453.76 | 794.77 | 1,296.02 | 1,773.19 | 2,426.04 | 3,319.26 | 4,541.34 | 6,213.36 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Operating Cash Flow | 131.10 | 92.88 | 147.17 | 553.34 | 87.42 | 576.32 | 788.51 | 1,078.83 | 1,476.03 | 2,019.47 |
Capital Expenditure | -96.78 | -96.75 | -97.52 | -133.43 | -559.75 | -453.40 | -620.33 | -848.72 | -1,161.20 | -1,588.73 |
Free Cash Flow | 34.32 | -3.86 | 49.65 | 419.92 | -472.33 | 122.93 | 168.18 | 230.11 | 314.83 | 430.74 |
WACC | ||||||||||
PV LFCF | 109.32 | 133 | 161.83 | 196.89 | 239.56 | |||||
SUM PV LFCF | 840.60 |
Terminal Value
Growth in perpetuity method: | |
---|---|
Long-term growth rate | |
WACC (%) | 12.45 |
Free cash flow (t + 1) | 439.35 |
Terminal Value | 4,204.32 |
Present Value of Terminal Value | 2,338.29 |
Intrinsic Value
Enterprise Value | 3,178.89 |
---|---|
Net Debt | 532.66 |
Equity Value | 2,646.22 |
Shares Outstanding | 630.18 |
Equity Value Per Share | 4.20 |