Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis Levered

Community Trust Bancorp, Inc. (CTBI)

$33.7

-0.91 (-2.63%)
All numbers are in Millions, Currency in USD
Stock DCF: 75.18 | 33.7 | undervalue

Free Cash Flow

Year
A/P
2018
Actual
2019
Actual
2020
Actual
2021
Actual
2022
Actual
2023
Projected
2024
Projected
2025
Projected
2026
Projected
2027
Projected
Revenue 194.11195.07205.55223.54227.02236.20245.75255.69266.03276.79
Revenue (%)
Operating Cash Flow 65.4983.4662.38115.6999.6895.6899.55103.57107.76112.12
Operating Cash Flow (%)
Capital Expenditure -2.83-2.57-1.48-2.37-6.22-3.45-3.59-3.73-3.88-4.04
Capital Expenditure (%)
Free Cash Flow 62.6680.8960.90113.3293.4792.2395.9699.84103.88108.08

Weighted Average Cost Of Capital

Share price $ 33.7
Beta 0.714
Diluted Shares Outstanding 17.85
Cost of Debt
Tax Rate 19.03
After-tax Cost of Debt 30.58%
Risk-Free Rate
Market Risk Premium
Cost of Equity 7.008
Total Debt 75.82
Total Equity 601.58
Total Capital 677.40
Debt Weighting 11.19
Equity Weighting 88.81
Wacc

Build Up Free Cash Flow

Year
A/P
2018
Actual
2019
Actual
2020
Actual
2021
Actual
2022
Actual
2023
Projected
2024
Projected
2025
Projected
2026
Projected
2027
Projected
Revenue 194.11195.07205.55223.54227.02236.20245.75255.69266.03276.79
Operating Cash Flow 65.4983.4662.38115.6999.6895.6899.55103.57107.76112.12
Capital Expenditure -2.83-2.57-1.48-2.37-6.22-3.45-3.59-3.73-3.88-4.04
Free Cash Flow 62.6680.8960.90113.3293.4792.2395.9699.84103.88108.08
WACC
PV LFCF 84.1179.8175.7371.8668.19
SUM PV LFCF 379.70

Terminal Value

Growth in perpetuity method:
Long-term growth rate
WACC (%) 9.65
Free cash flow (t + 1) 110.24
Terminal Value 1,441.05
Present Value of Terminal Value 909.15

Intrinsic Value

Enterprise Value 1,288.85
Net Debt -53.11
Equity Value 1,341.96
Shares Outstanding 17.85
Equity Value Per Share 75.18