Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis Levered
CatchMark Timber Trust, Inc. (CTT)
$10.37
-0.15 (-1.43%)
All numbers are in Millions, Currency in USD
Free Cash Flow
Year A/P | 2017 Actual | 2018 Actual | 2019 Actual | 2020 Actual | 2021 Actual | 2022 Projected | 2023 Projected | 2024 Projected | 2025 Projected | 2026 Projected |
Revenue | 91.30 | 97.86 | 106.71 | 104.29 | 102.16 | 105.21 | 108.34 | 111.57 | 114.90 | 118.33 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Revenue (%) | ||||||||||
Operating Cash Flow | 27.42 | 29.80 | 32.94 | 40.46 | 47.17 | 37.10 | 38.21 | 39.34 | 40.52 | 41.72 |
Operating Cash Flow (%) | ||||||||||
Capital Expenditure | -5.62 | -4.57 | -4.18 | -5.53 | -4.91 | -5.23 | -5.38 | -5.54 | -5.71 | -5.88 |
Capital Expenditure (%) | ||||||||||
Free Cash Flow | 21.80 | 25.23 | 28.76 | 34.93 | 42.26 | 31.87 | 32.82 | 33.80 | 34.81 | 35.85 |
Weighted Average Cost Of Capital
Share price | $ 10.37 |
---|---|
Beta | 1.123 |
Diluted Shares Outstanding | 48.48 |
Cost of Debt | |
Tax Rate | 1.38 |
After-tax Cost of Debt | 4.15% |
Risk-Free Rate | |
Market Risk Premium | |
Cost of Equity | 8.992 |
Total Debt | 300.95 |
Total Equity | 502.75 |
Total Capital | 803.70 |
Debt Weighting | 37.45 |
Equity Weighting | 62.55 |
Wacc |
Build Up Free Cash Flow
Year A/P | 2017 Actual | 2018 Actual | 2019 Actual | 2020 Actual | 2021 Actual | 2022 Projected | 2023 Projected | 2024 Projected | 2025 Projected | 2026 Projected |
Revenue | 91.30 | 97.86 | 106.71 | 104.29 | 102.16 | 105.21 | 108.34 | 111.57 | 114.90 | 118.33 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Operating Cash Flow | 27.42 | 29.80 | 32.94 | 40.46 | 47.17 | 37.10 | 38.21 | 39.34 | 40.52 | 41.72 |
Capital Expenditure | -5.62 | -4.57 | -4.18 | -5.53 | -4.91 | -5.23 | -5.38 | -5.54 | -5.71 | -5.88 |
Free Cash Flow | 21.80 | 25.23 | 28.76 | 34.93 | 42.26 | 31.87 | 32.82 | 33.80 | 34.81 | 35.85 |
WACC | ||||||||||
PV LFCF | 29.74 | 28.57 | 27.45 | 26.38 | 25.34 | |||||
SUM PV LFCF | 137.48 |
Terminal Value
Growth in perpetuity method: | |
---|---|
Long-term growth rate | |
WACC (%) | 7.18 |
Free cash flow (t + 1) | 36.56 |
Terminal Value | 705.85 |
Present Value of Terminal Value | 499.05 |
Intrinsic Value
Enterprise Value | 636.53 |
---|---|
Net Debt | 277.99 |
Equity Value | 358.54 |
Shares Outstanding | 48.48 |
Equity Value Per Share | 7.40 |