Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis Levered

First Mid Bancshares, Inc. (FMBH)

$24.02

-0.80 (-3.22%)
All numbers are in Millions, Currency in USD
Stock DCF: 181.05 | 24.02 | undervalue

Free Cash Flow

Year
A/P
2018
Actual
2019
Actual
2020
Actual
2021
Actual
2022
Actual
2023
Projected
2024
Projected
2025
Projected
2026
Projected
2027
Projected
Revenue 144.18178.20184.64234.40254.66294.64340.90394.42456.35528
Revenue (%)
Operating Cash Flow 42.1762.8363.5469.6065.8291.02105.31121.85140.98163.11
Operating Cash Flow (%)
Capital Expenditure -3.11-4.10-2.46-3.70-5.02-5.51-6.37-7.37-8.53-9.87
Capital Expenditure (%)
Free Cash Flow 39.0658.7361.0865.8960.8085.5198.94114.47132.45153.24

Weighted Average Cost Of Capital

Share price $ 24.02
Beta 0.829
Diluted Shares Outstanding 18.14
Cost of Debt
Tax Rate 20.09
After-tax Cost of Debt 4.24%
Risk-Free Rate
Market Risk Premium
Cost of Equity 7.604
Total Debt 595.02
Total Equity 435.61
Total Capital 1,030.63
Debt Weighting 57.73
Equity Weighting 42.27
Wacc

Build Up Free Cash Flow

Year
A/P
2018
Actual
2019
Actual
2020
Actual
2021
Actual
2022
Actual
2023
Projected
2024
Projected
2025
Projected
2026
Projected
2027
Projected
Revenue 144.18178.20184.64234.40254.66294.64340.90394.42456.35528
Operating Cash Flow 42.1762.8363.5469.6065.8291.02105.31121.85140.98163.11
Capital Expenditure -3.11-4.10-2.46-3.70-5.02-5.51-6.37-7.37-8.53-9.87
Free Cash Flow 39.0658.7361.0865.8960.8085.5198.94114.47132.45153.24
WACC
PV LFCF 80.9388.6297.04106.27116.36
SUM PV LFCF 489.23

Terminal Value

Growth in perpetuity method:
Long-term growth rate
WACC (%) 5.66
Free cash flow (t + 1) 156.31
Terminal Value 4,270.63
Present Value of Terminal Value 3,242.94

Intrinsic Value

Enterprise Value 3,732.17
Net Debt 448.75
Equity Value 3,283.43
Shares Outstanding 18.14
Equity Value Per Share 181.05