Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis Levered
First Seacoast Bancorp (FSEA)
$7.38
+0.31 (+4.38%)
All numbers are in Millions, Currency in USD
Free Cash Flow
Year A/P | 2018 Actual | 2019 Actual | 2020 Actual | 2021 Actual | 2022 Actual | 2023 Projected | 2024 Projected | 2025 Projected | 2026 Projected | 2027 Projected |
Revenue | 12.50 | 12.98 | 14.50 | 16.31 | 15.57 | 16.48 | 17.44 | 18.47 | 19.55 | 20.69 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Revenue (%) | ||||||||||
Operating Cash Flow | -0.67 | 1.06 | 1.42 | 2.42 | 0.97 | 1.11 | 1.17 | 1.24 | 1.32 | 1.39 |
Operating Cash Flow (%) | ||||||||||
Capital Expenditure | -0.18 | -0.29 | -0.32 | -0.04 | -0.10 | -0.22 | -0.23 | -0.25 | -0.26 | -0.28 |
Capital Expenditure (%) | ||||||||||
Free Cash Flow | -0.85 | 0.77 | 1.10 | 2.39 | 0.87 | 0.89 | 0.94 | 1 | 1.05 | 1.12 |
Weighted Average Cost Of Capital
Share price | $ 7.38 |
---|---|
Beta | 0.410 |
Diluted Shares Outstanding | 5.77 |
Cost of Debt | |
Tax Rate | 44.39 |
After-tax Cost of Debt | 0.98% |
Risk-Free Rate | |
Market Risk Premium | |
Cost of Equity | 6.508 |
Total Debt | 99.40 |
Total Equity | 42.56 |
Total Capital | 141.96 |
Debt Weighting | 70.02 |
Equity Weighting | 29.98 |
Wacc |
Build Up Free Cash Flow
Year A/P | 2018 Actual | 2019 Actual | 2020 Actual | 2021 Actual | 2022 Actual | 2023 Projected | 2024 Projected | 2025 Projected | 2026 Projected | 2027 Projected |
Revenue | 12.50 | 12.98 | 14.50 | 16.31 | 15.57 | 16.48 | 17.44 | 18.47 | 19.55 | 20.69 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Operating Cash Flow | -0.67 | 1.06 | 1.42 | 2.42 | 0.97 | 1.11 | 1.17 | 1.24 | 1.32 | 1.39 |
Capital Expenditure | -0.18 | -0.29 | -0.32 | -0.04 | -0.10 | -0.22 | -0.23 | -0.25 | -0.26 | -0.28 |
Free Cash Flow | -0.85 | 0.77 | 1.10 | 2.39 | 0.87 | 0.89 | 0.94 | 1 | 1.05 | 1.12 |
WACC | ||||||||||
PV LFCF | 0.87 | 0.89 | 0.92 | 0.95 | 0.98 | |||||
SUM PV LFCF | 4.61 |
Terminal Value
Growth in perpetuity method: | |
---|---|
Long-term growth rate | |
WACC (%) | 2.64 |
Free cash flow (t + 1) | 1.14 |
Terminal Value | 177.92 |
Present Value of Terminal Value | 156.19 |
Intrinsic Value
Enterprise Value | 160.80 |
---|---|
Net Debt | 90.40 |
Equity Value | 70.40 |
Shares Outstanding | 5.77 |
Equity Value Per Share | 12.21 |