Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis Levered

Helix Energy Solutions Group, Inc. (HLX)

$9.32

+0.11 (+1.19%)

All numbers are in Millions, Currency in USD

Stock DCF: 3.02 | 9.32 | overvalue

Free Cash Flow

Year A/P	2018 Actual	2019 Actual	2020 Actual	2021 Actual	2022 Actual	2023 Projected	2024 Projected	2025 Projected	2026 Projected	2027 Projected
Revenue	739.82	751.91	733.55	674.73	873.10	918.01	965.23	1,014.87	1,067.07	1,121.96
Revenue (%)
Operating Cash Flow	196.74	169.67	98.80	140.12	51.11	163.86	172.29	181.15	190.47	200.26
Operating Cash Flow (%)
Capital Expenditure	-137.08	-140.85	-20.24	-8.32	-33.50	-82.79	-87.05	-91.53	-96.23	-101.18
Capital Expenditure (%)
Free Cash Flow	59.66	28.82	78.56	131.79	17.60	81.07	85.24	89.62	94.23	99.08

Weighted Average Cost Of Capital

Share price	$ 9.32
Beta	2.765
Diluted Shares Outstanding	151.28
Cost of Debt
Tax Rate	-16.76
After-tax Cost of Debt	4.23%
Risk-Free Rate
Market Risk Premium
Cost of Equity	17.277
Total Debt	469.68
Total Equity	1,409.89
Total Capital	1,879.57
Debt Weighting	24.99
Equity Weighting	75.01
Wacc

Build Up Free Cash Flow

Year A/P	2018 Actual	2019 Actual	2020 Actual	2021 Actual	2022 Actual	2023 Projected	2024 Projected	2025 Projected	2026 Projected	2027 Projected
Revenue	739.82	751.91	733.55	674.73	873.10	918.01	965.23	1,014.87	1,067.07	1,121.96
Operating Cash Flow	196.74	169.67	98.80	140.12	51.11	163.86	172.29	181.15	190.47	200.26
Capital Expenditure	-137.08	-140.85	-20.24	-8.32	-33.50	-82.79	-87.05	-91.53	-96.23	-101.18
Free Cash Flow	59.66	28.82	78.56	131.79	17.60	81.07	85.24	89.62	94.23	99.08
WACC
PV LFCF						71.10	65.57	60.46	55.75	51.41
SUM PV LFCF										304.30

Terminal Value

Growth in perpetuity method:
Long-term growth rate
WACC (%)	14.02
Free cash flow (t + 1)	101.06
Terminal Value	840.78
Present Value of Terminal Value	436.29

Intrinsic Value

Enterprise Value	740.59
Net Debt	283.07
Equity Value	457.51
Shares Outstanding	151.28
Equity Value Per Share	3.02