Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis Levered

Hammond Power Solutions Inc. (HPS-A.TO)

$16.64

+0.24 (+1.46%)
All numbers are in Millions, Currency in USD
Stock DCF: 2.62 | 16.64 | overvalue

Free Cash Flow

Year
A/P
2017
Actual
2018
Actual
2019
Actual
2020
Actual
2021
Actual
2022
Projected
2023
Projected
2024
Projected
2025
Projected
2026
Projected
Revenue 301.75314.08358.78322.10380.20405.04431.50459.70489.73521.73
Revenue (%)
Operating Cash Flow 1.036.4717.8119.6820.4515.2816.2717.3418.4719.68
Operating Cash Flow (%)
Capital Expenditure -2.45-2.35-4.01-4.93-6.07-4.70-5.01-5.34-5.69-6.06
Capital Expenditure (%)
Free Cash Flow -1.414.1213.8014.7514.3810.5711.261212.7813.62

Weighted Average Cost Of Capital

Share price $ 16.64
Beta 0.557
Diluted Shares Outstanding 107.49
Cost of Debt
Tax Rate 28.58
After-tax Cost of Debt 3.23%
Risk-Free Rate
Market Risk Premium
Cost of Equity 6.327
Total Debt 28.76
Total Equity 1,788.57
Total Capital 1,817.32
Debt Weighting 1.58
Equity Weighting 98.42
Wacc

Build Up Free Cash Flow

Year
A/P
2017
Actual
2018
Actual
2019
Actual
2020
Actual
2021
Actual
2022
Projected
2023
Projected
2024
Projected
2025
Projected
2026
Projected
Revenue 301.75314.08358.78322.10380.20405.04431.50459.70489.73521.73
Operating Cash Flow 1.036.4717.8119.6820.4515.2816.2717.3418.4719.68
Capital Expenditure -2.45-2.35-4.01-4.93-6.07-4.70-5.01-5.34-5.69-6.06
Free Cash Flow -1.414.1213.8014.7514.3810.5711.261212.7813.62
WACC
PV LFCF 9.959.971010.0210.04
SUM PV LFCF 49.98

Terminal Value

Growth in perpetuity method:
Long-term growth rate
WACC (%) 6.28
Free cash flow (t + 1) 13.89
Terminal Value 324.56
Present Value of Terminal Value 239.35

Intrinsic Value

Enterprise Value 289.33
Net Debt 7.85
Equity Value 281.48
Shares Outstanding 107.49
Equity Value Per Share 2.62