Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis Levered

The Macerich Company (MAC)

$12.13

+0.66 (+5.75%)
All numbers are in Millions, Currency in USD
Stock DCF: -16.27 | 12.13 | overvalue

Free Cash Flow

Year
A/P
2018
Actual
2019
Actual
2020
Actual
2021
Actual
2022
Actual
2023
Projected
2024
Projected
2025
Projected
2026
Projected
2027
Projected
Revenue 960.35927.46786.03847.44859.16838.81818.93799.53780.58762.09
Revenue (%)
Operating Cash Flow 344.31355.16124.84286.37337.51273.63267.14260.81254.63248.60
Operating Cash Flow (%)
Capital Expenditure -237.23-229.11-194.17-209.34-212.24-207.21-202.30-197.50-192.82-188.25
Capital Expenditure (%)
Free Cash Flow 107.08126.05-69.3377.03125.2766.4264.8463.3161.8160.34

Weighted Average Cost Of Capital

Share price $ 12.13
Beta 2.183
Diluted Shares Outstanding 215.03
Cost of Debt
Tax Rate -1.10
After-tax Cost of Debt 4.82%
Risk-Free Rate
Market Risk Premium
Cost of Equity 14.460
Total Debt 4,498.62
Total Equity 2,608.33
Total Capital 7,106.95
Debt Weighting 63.30
Equity Weighting 36.70
Wacc

Build Up Free Cash Flow

Year
A/P
2018
Actual
2019
Actual
2020
Actual
2021
Actual
2022
Actual
2023
Projected
2024
Projected
2025
Projected
2026
Projected
2027
Projected
Revenue 960.35927.46786.03847.44859.16838.81818.93799.53780.58762.09
Operating Cash Flow 344.31355.16124.84286.37337.51273.63267.14260.81254.63248.60
Capital Expenditure -237.23-229.11-194.17-209.34-212.24-207.21-202.30-197.50-192.82-188.25
Free Cash Flow 107.08126.05-69.3377.03125.2766.4264.8463.3161.8160.34
WACC
PV LFCF 61.2955.2349.7644.8340.39
SUM PV LFCF 251.50

Terminal Value

Growth in perpetuity method:
Long-term growth rate
WACC (%) 8.36
Free cash flow (t + 1) 61.55
Terminal Value 967.78
Present Value of Terminal Value 647.79

Intrinsic Value

Enterprise Value 899.28
Net Debt 4,398.30
Equity Value -3,499.02
Shares Outstanding 215.03
Equity Value Per Share -16.27