Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis Levered

Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc. (MCRI)

$76.24

-1.47 (-1.89%)
All numbers are in Millions, Currency in USD
Stock DCF: -76.76 | 76.24 | overvalue

Free Cash Flow

Year
A/P
2017
Actual
2018
Actual
2019
Actual
2020
Actual
2021
Actual
2022
Projected
2023
Projected
2024
Projected
2025
Projected
2026
Projected
Revenue 230.73240.32249.17184.41395.38490.51608.54754.97936.631,162.01
Revenue (%)
Operating Cash Flow 49.4558.7663.2531.44128.10118.43146.92182.28226.14280.55
Operating Cash Flow (%)
Capital Expenditure -49.99-137.07-125.37-88.67-46.93-185.38-229.99-285.33-353.99-439.17
Capital Expenditure (%)
Free Cash Flow -0.54-78.32-62.12-57.2281.18-66.96-83.07-103.06-127.85-158.62

Weighted Average Cost Of Capital

Share price $ 76.24
Beta 1.729
Diluted Shares Outstanding 19.42
Cost of Debt
Tax Rate 19.78
After-tax Cost of Debt 3.53%
Risk-Free Rate
Market Risk Premium
Cost of Equity 11.677
Total Debt 102.39
Total Equity 1,480.81
Total Capital 1,583.20
Debt Weighting 6.47
Equity Weighting 93.53
Wacc

Build Up Free Cash Flow

Year
A/P
2017
Actual
2018
Actual
2019
Actual
2020
Actual
2021
Actual
2022
Projected
2023
Projected
2024
Projected
2025
Projected
2026
Projected
Revenue 230.73240.32249.17184.41395.38490.51608.54754.97936.631,162.01
Operating Cash Flow 49.4558.7663.2531.44128.10118.43146.92182.28226.14280.55
Capital Expenditure -49.99-137.07-125.37-88.67-46.93-185.38-229.99-285.33-353.99-439.17
Free Cash Flow -0.54-78.32-62.12-57.2281.18-66.96-83.07-103.06-127.85-158.62
WACC
PV LFCF -48.76-54.43-60.75-67.80-75.68
SUM PV LFCF -379.80

Terminal Value

Growth in perpetuity method:
Long-term growth rate
WACC (%) 11.15
Free cash flow (t + 1) -161.79
Terminal Value -1,768.22
Present Value of Terminal Value -1,042.29

Intrinsic Value

Enterprise Value -1,422.09
Net Debt 68.87
Equity Value -1,490.95
Shares Outstanding 19.42
Equity Value Per Share -76.76