Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis Levered

Mayville Engineering Company, Inc. (MEC)

$12.86

-0.13 (-1.00%)
All numbers are in Millions, Currency in USD
Stock DCF: 10.53 | 12.86 | overvalue

Free Cash Flow

Year
A/P
2018
Actual
2019
Actual
2020
Actual
2021
Actual
2022
Actual
2023
Projected
2024
Projected
2025
Projected
2026
Projected
2027
Projected
Revenue 354.53519.70357.61454.83539.39621.89717.01826.68953.121,098.90
Revenue (%)
Operating Cash Flow 36.7133.4036.5214.4652.4349.6257.2165.9676.0587.68
Operating Cash Flow (%)
Capital Expenditure -17.88-25.80-7.79-39.31-58.61-39.42-45.45-52.40-60.42-69.66
Capital Expenditure (%)
Free Cash Flow 18.847.6128.73-24.85-6.1810.2011.7613.5615.6318.02

Weighted Average Cost Of Capital

Share price $ 12.86
Beta 0.828
Diluted Shares Outstanding 20.68
Cost of Debt
Tax Rate 16.37
After-tax Cost of Debt 3.60%
Risk-Free Rate
Market Risk Premium
Cost of Equity 8.215
Total Debt 108.98
Total Equity 265.98
Total Capital 374.96
Debt Weighting 29.07
Equity Weighting 70.93
Wacc

Build Up Free Cash Flow

Year
A/P
2018
Actual
2019
Actual
2020
Actual
2021
Actual
2022
Actual
2023
Projected
2024
Projected
2025
Projected
2026
Projected
2027
Projected
Revenue 354.53519.70357.61454.83539.39621.89717.01826.68953.121,098.90
Operating Cash Flow 36.7133.4036.5214.4652.4349.6257.2165.9676.0587.68
Capital Expenditure -17.88-25.80-7.79-39.31-58.61-39.42-45.45-52.40-60.42-69.66
Free Cash Flow 18.847.6128.73-24.85-6.1810.2011.7613.5615.6318.02
WACC
PV LFCF 9.5410.3011.1111.9812.93
SUM PV LFCF 55.85

Terminal Value

Growth in perpetuity method:
Long-term growth rate
WACC (%) 6.87
Free cash flow (t + 1) 18.38
Terminal Value 377.44
Present Value of Terminal Value 270.75

Intrinsic Value

Enterprise Value 326.60
Net Debt 108.86
Equity Value 217.75
Shares Outstanding 20.68
Equity Value Per Share 10.53