Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis Levered
Osisko Gold Royalties Ltd (OR.TO)
$21.24
-0.40 (-1.85%)
All numbers are in Millions, Currency in USD
Free Cash Flow
Year A/P | 2018 Actual | 2019 Actual | 2020 Actual | 2021 Actual | 2022 Actual | 2023 Projected | 2024 Projected | 2025 Projected | 2026 Projected | 2027 Projected |
Revenue | 490.47 | 392.60 | 213.63 | 224.88 | 217.81 | 183.28 | 154.22 | 129.77 | 109.19 | 91.88 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Revenue (%) | ||||||||||
Operating Cash Flow | 82.16 | 91.60 | 107.98 | 106.09 | 109.95 | 69.02 | 58.07 | 48.87 | 41.12 | 34.60 |
Operating Cash Flow (%) | ||||||||||
Capital Expenditure | -141.21 | -84.14 | -137.89 | -276.23 | -124.21 | -108 | -90.87 | -76.47 | -64.34 | -54.14 |
Capital Expenditure (%) | ||||||||||
Free Cash Flow | -59.05 | 7.46 | -29.91 | -170.14 | -14.26 | -38.98 | -32.80 | -27.60 | -23.22 | -19.54 |
Weighted Average Cost Of Capital
Share price | $ 21.24 |
---|---|
Beta | 0.649 |
Diluted Shares Outstanding | 180.65 |
Cost of Debt | |
Tax Rate | 204.98 |
After-tax Cost of Debt | -15.07% |
Risk-Free Rate | |
Market Risk Premium | |
Cost of Equity | 6.853 |
Total Debt | 155.57 |
Total Equity | 3,837.07 |
Total Capital | 3,992.64 |
Debt Weighting | 3.90 |
Equity Weighting | 96.10 |
Wacc |
Build Up Free Cash Flow
Year A/P | 2018 Actual | 2019 Actual | 2020 Actual | 2021 Actual | 2022 Actual | 2023 Projected | 2024 Projected | 2025 Projected | 2026 Projected | 2027 Projected |
Revenue | 490.47 | 392.60 | 213.63 | 224.88 | 217.81 | 183.28 | 154.22 | 129.77 | 109.19 | 91.88 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Operating Cash Flow | 82.16 | 91.60 | 107.98 | 106.09 | 109.95 | 69.02 | 58.07 | 48.87 | 41.12 | 34.60 |
Capital Expenditure | -141.21 | -84.14 | -137.89 | -276.23 | -124.21 | -108 | -90.87 | -76.47 | -64.34 | -54.14 |
Free Cash Flow | -59.05 | 7.46 | -29.91 | -170.14 | -14.26 | -38.98 | -32.80 | -27.60 | -23.22 | -19.54 |
WACC | ||||||||||
PV LFCF | -36.77 | -29.19 | -23.17 | -18.40 | -14.60 | |||||
SUM PV LFCF | -122.14 |
Terminal Value
Growth in perpetuity method: | |
---|---|
Long-term growth rate | |
WACC (%) | 6.00 |
Free cash flow (t + 1) | -19.93 |
Terminal Value | -498.33 |
Present Value of Terminal Value | -372.38 |
Intrinsic Value
Enterprise Value | -494.52 |
---|---|
Net Debt | 65.02 |
Equity Value | -559.54 |
Shares Outstanding | 180.65 |
Equity Value Per Share | -3.10 |