Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis Levered
5N Plus Inc. (VNP.TO)
$3.255
+0.10 (+3.33%)
All numbers are in Millions, Currency in USD
Free Cash Flow
Year A/P | 2018 Actual | 2019 Actual | 2020 Actual | 2021 Actual | 2022 Actual | 2023 Projected | 2024 Projected | 2025 Projected | 2026 Projected | 2027 Projected |
Revenue | 218 | 195.97 | 177.19 | 209.99 | 264.22 | 280.51 | 297.79 | 316.15 | 335.63 | 356.31 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Revenue (%) | ||||||||||
Operating Cash Flow | 2.20 | 2.68 | 36.81 | 10.27 | 23.74 | 20.77 | 22.05 | 23.41 | 24.85 | 26.38 |
Operating Cash Flow (%) | ||||||||||
Capital Expenditure | -11.30 | -10.26 | -8.55 | -5.93 | -17.06 | -13.76 | -14.61 | -15.51 | -16.46 | -17.48 |
Capital Expenditure (%) | ||||||||||
Free Cash Flow | -9.10 | -7.58 | 28.25 | 4.34 | 6.69 | 7.01 | 7.44 | 7.90 | 8.39 | 8.91 |
Weighted Average Cost Of Capital
Share price | $ 3.255 |
---|---|
Beta | 1.547 |
Diluted Shares Outstanding | 82.79 |
Cost of Debt | |
Tax Rate | -25.76 |
After-tax Cost of Debt | 3.61% |
Risk-Free Rate | |
Market Risk Premium | |
Cost of Equity | 10.997 |
Total Debt | 151.40 |
Total Equity | 269.47 |
Total Capital | 420.87 |
Debt Weighting | 35.97 |
Equity Weighting | 64.03 |
Wacc |
Build Up Free Cash Flow
Year A/P | 2018 Actual | 2019 Actual | 2020 Actual | 2021 Actual | 2022 Actual | 2023 Projected | 2024 Projected | 2025 Projected | 2026 Projected | 2027 Projected |
Revenue | 218 | 195.97 | 177.19 | 209.99 | 264.22 | 280.51 | 297.79 | 316.15 | 335.63 | 356.31 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Operating Cash Flow | 2.20 | 2.68 | 36.81 | 10.27 | 23.74 | 20.77 | 22.05 | 23.41 | 24.85 | 26.38 |
Capital Expenditure | -11.30 | -10.26 | -8.55 | -5.93 | -17.06 | -13.76 | -14.61 | -15.51 | -16.46 | -17.48 |
Free Cash Flow | -9.10 | -7.58 | 28.25 | 4.34 | 6.69 | 7.01 | 7.44 | 7.90 | 8.39 | 8.91 |
WACC | ||||||||||
PV LFCF | 6.47 | 6.34 | 6.22 | 6.09 | 5.97 | |||||
SUM PV LFCF | 31.09 |
Terminal Value
Growth in perpetuity method: | |
---|---|
Long-term growth rate | |
WACC (%) | 8.34 |
Free cash flow (t + 1) | 9.09 |
Terminal Value | 143.31 |
Present Value of Terminal Value | 96.01 |
Intrinsic Value
Enterprise Value | 127.10 |
---|---|
Net Debt | 108.71 |
Equity Value | 18.39 |
Shares Outstanding | 82.79 |
Equity Value Per Share | 0.22 |