Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis Levered
VSE Corporation (VSEC)
$56.72
+0.54 (+0.96%)
All numbers are in Millions, Currency in USD
Free Cash Flow
Year A/P | 2018 Actual | 2019 Actual | 2020 Actual | 2021 Actual | 2022 Actual | 2023 Projected | 2024 Projected | 2025 Projected | 2026 Projected | 2027 Projected |
Revenue | 697.22 | 752.63 | 661.66 | 750.85 | 949.76 | 1,034.84 | 1,127.54 | 1,228.55 | 1,338.60 | 1,458.51 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Revenue (%) | ||||||||||
Operating Cash Flow | 18.85 | 17.99 | 35.76 | -17.60 | 8.05 | 18.63 | 20.30 | 22.12 | 24.10 | 26.26 |
Operating Cash Flow (%) | ||||||||||
Capital Expenditure | -3.12 | -9.63 | -4.43 | -10.52 | -11.21 | -10.30 | -11.22 | -12.23 | -13.33 | -14.52 |
Capital Expenditure (%) | ||||||||||
Free Cash Flow | 15.74 | 8.36 | 31.33 | -28.12 | -3.16 | 8.33 | 9.08 | 9.89 | 10.78 | 11.74 |
Weighted Average Cost Of Capital
Share price | $ 56.72 |
---|---|
Beta | 1.509 |
Diluted Shares Outstanding | 12.83 |
Cost of Debt | |
Tax Rate | 24.67 |
After-tax Cost of Debt | 4.14% |
Risk-Free Rate | |
Market Risk Premium | |
Cost of Equity | 11.604 |
Total Debt | 325.89 |
Total Equity | 727.60 |
Total Capital | 1,053.49 |
Debt Weighting | 30.93 |
Equity Weighting | 69.07 |
Wacc |
Build Up Free Cash Flow
Year A/P | 2018 Actual | 2019 Actual | 2020 Actual | 2021 Actual | 2022 Actual | 2023 Projected | 2024 Projected | 2025 Projected | 2026 Projected | 2027 Projected |
Revenue | 697.22 | 752.63 | 661.66 | 750.85 | 949.76 | 1,034.84 | 1,127.54 | 1,228.55 | 1,338.60 | 1,458.51 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Operating Cash Flow | 18.85 | 17.99 | 35.76 | -17.60 | 8.05 | 18.63 | 20.30 | 22.12 | 24.10 | 26.26 |
Capital Expenditure | -3.12 | -9.63 | -4.43 | -10.52 | -11.21 | -10.30 | -11.22 | -12.23 | -13.33 | -14.52 |
Free Cash Flow | 15.74 | 8.36 | 31.33 | -28.12 | -3.16 | 8.33 | 9.08 | 9.89 | 10.78 | 11.74 |
WACC | ||||||||||
PV LFCF | 7.62 | 7.60 | 7.58 | 7.56 | 7.53 | |||||
SUM PV LFCF | 37.89 |
Terminal Value
Growth in perpetuity method: | |
---|---|
Long-term growth rate | |
WACC (%) | 9.29 |
Free cash flow (t + 1) | 11.98 |
Terminal Value | 164.32 |
Present Value of Terminal Value | 105.39 |
Intrinsic Value
Enterprise Value | 143.28 |
---|---|
Net Debt | 325.42 |
Equity Value | -182.14 |
Shares Outstanding | 12.83 |
Equity Value Per Share | -14.20 |