Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis Levered

Winnebago Industries, Inc. (WGO)

$57.51

-2.60 (-4.33%)
All numbers are in Millions, Currency in USD
Stock DCF: 288.08 | 57.51 | undervalue

Free Cash Flow

Year
A/P
2018
Actual
2019
Actual
2020
Actual
2021
Actual
2022
Actual
2023
Projected
2024
Projected
2025
Projected
2026
Projected
2027
Projected
Revenue 2,016.831,985.672,355.533,629.854,957.736,293.387,988.8510,141.1112,873.1916,341.31
Revenue (%)
Operating Cash Flow 83.35133.75270.43237.28400.62465.29590.64749.77951.761,208.17
Operating Cash Flow (%)
Capital Expenditure -28.67-40.86-32.38-44.89-87.97-98.99-125.66-159.51-202.49-257.04
Capital Expenditure (%)
Free Cash Flow 54.6892.89238.06192.39312.65366.30464.98590.25749.27951.13

Weighted Average Cost Of Capital

Share price $ 57.51
Beta 1.637
Diluted Shares Outstanding 32.98
Cost of Debt
Tax Rate 24.11
After-tax Cost of Debt 5.35%
Risk-Free Rate
Market Risk Premium
Cost of Equity 11.417
Total Debt 586.28
Total Equity 1,896.97
Total Capital 2,483.25
Debt Weighting 23.61
Equity Weighting 76.39
Wacc

Build Up Free Cash Flow

Year
A/P
2018
Actual
2019
Actual
2020
Actual
2021
Actual
2022
Actual
2023
Projected
2024
Projected
2025
Projected
2026
Projected
2027
Projected
Revenue 2,016.831,985.672,355.533,629.854,957.736,293.387,988.8510,141.1112,873.1916,341.31
Operating Cash Flow 83.35133.75270.43237.28400.62465.29590.64749.77951.761,208.17
Capital Expenditure -28.67-40.86-32.38-44.89-87.97-98.99-125.66-159.51-202.49-257.04
Free Cash Flow 54.6892.89238.06192.39312.65366.30464.98590.25749.27951.13
WACC
PV LFCF 333.03384.35443.59511.95590.85
SUM PV LFCF 2,263.77

Terminal Value

Growth in perpetuity method:
Long-term growth rate
WACC (%) 9.99
Free cash flow (t + 1) 970.15
Terminal Value 12,142.09
Present Value of Terminal Value 7,542.71

Intrinsic Value

Enterprise Value 9,806.48
Net Debt 304.11
Equity Value 9,502.37
Shares Outstanding 32.98
Equity Value Per Share 288.08