Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis Levered
Winnebago Industries, Inc. (WGO)
$57.51
-2.60 (-4.33%)
All numbers are in Millions, Currency in USD
Free Cash Flow
Year A/P | 2018 Actual | 2019 Actual | 2020 Actual | 2021 Actual | 2022 Actual | 2023 Projected | 2024 Projected | 2025 Projected | 2026 Projected | 2027 Projected |
Revenue | 2,016.83 | 1,985.67 | 2,355.53 | 3,629.85 | 4,957.73 | 6,293.38 | 7,988.85 | 10,141.11 | 12,873.19 | 16,341.31 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Revenue (%) | ||||||||||
Operating Cash Flow | 83.35 | 133.75 | 270.43 | 237.28 | 400.62 | 465.29 | 590.64 | 749.77 | 951.76 | 1,208.17 |
Operating Cash Flow (%) | ||||||||||
Capital Expenditure | -28.67 | -40.86 | -32.38 | -44.89 | -87.97 | -98.99 | -125.66 | -159.51 | -202.49 | -257.04 |
Capital Expenditure (%) | ||||||||||
Free Cash Flow | 54.68 | 92.89 | 238.06 | 192.39 | 312.65 | 366.30 | 464.98 | 590.25 | 749.27 | 951.13 |
Weighted Average Cost Of Capital
Share price | $ 57.51 |
---|---|
Beta | 1.637 |
Diluted Shares Outstanding | 32.98 |
Cost of Debt | |
Tax Rate | 24.11 |
After-tax Cost of Debt | 5.35% |
Risk-Free Rate | |
Market Risk Premium | |
Cost of Equity | 11.417 |
Total Debt | 586.28 |
Total Equity | 1,896.97 |
Total Capital | 2,483.25 |
Debt Weighting | 23.61 |
Equity Weighting | 76.39 |
Wacc |
Build Up Free Cash Flow
Year A/P | 2018 Actual | 2019 Actual | 2020 Actual | 2021 Actual | 2022 Actual | 2023 Projected | 2024 Projected | 2025 Projected | 2026 Projected | 2027 Projected |
Revenue | 2,016.83 | 1,985.67 | 2,355.53 | 3,629.85 | 4,957.73 | 6,293.38 | 7,988.85 | 10,141.11 | 12,873.19 | 16,341.31 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Operating Cash Flow | 83.35 | 133.75 | 270.43 | 237.28 | 400.62 | 465.29 | 590.64 | 749.77 | 951.76 | 1,208.17 |
Capital Expenditure | -28.67 | -40.86 | -32.38 | -44.89 | -87.97 | -98.99 | -125.66 | -159.51 | -202.49 | -257.04 |
Free Cash Flow | 54.68 | 92.89 | 238.06 | 192.39 | 312.65 | 366.30 | 464.98 | 590.25 | 749.27 | 951.13 |
WACC | ||||||||||
PV LFCF | 333.03 | 384.35 | 443.59 | 511.95 | 590.85 | |||||
SUM PV LFCF | 2,263.77 |
Terminal Value
Growth in perpetuity method: | |
---|---|
Long-term growth rate | |
WACC (%) | 9.99 |
Free cash flow (t + 1) | 970.15 |
Terminal Value | 12,142.09 |
Present Value of Terminal Value | 7,542.71 |
Intrinsic Value
Enterprise Value | 9,806.48 |
---|---|
Net Debt | 304.11 |
Equity Value | 9,502.37 |
Shares Outstanding | 32.98 |
Equity Value Per Share | 288.08 |