Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis Levered
The Alkaline Water Company Inc. (WTER)
$1.9717
-0.09 (-4.29%)
All numbers are in Millions, Currency in USD
Free Cash Flow
Year A/P | 2018 Actual | 2019 Actual | 2020 Actual | 2021 Actual | 2022 Actual | 2023 Projected | 2024 Projected | 2025 Projected | 2026 Projected | 2027 Projected |
Revenue | 19.81 | 32.20 | 41.14 | 46.61 | 60.60 | 80.83 | 107.83 | 143.85 | 191.89 | 255.98 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Revenue (%) | ||||||||||
Operating Cash Flow | -2.63 | -8.13 | -13.64 | -14.28 | -31.82 | -25.03 | -33.39 | -44.54 | -59.41 | -79.25 |
Operating Cash Flow (%) | ||||||||||
Capital Expenditure | -0.32 | -1.36 | -0.49 | -0.59 | -0.99 | -1.60 | -2.13 | -2.85 | -3.80 | -5.07 |
Capital Expenditure (%) | ||||||||||
Free Cash Flow | -2.94 | -9.48 | -14.13 | -14.87 | -32.81 | -26.63 | -35.52 | -47.38 | -63.21 | -84.32 |
Weighted Average Cost Of Capital
Share price | $ 1.9,717 |
---|---|
Beta | 1.776 |
Diluted Shares Outstanding | 6.61 |
Cost of Debt | |
Tax Rate | 0.00 |
After-tax Cost of Debt | 259.54% |
Risk-Free Rate | |
Market Risk Premium | |
Cost of Equity | 12.072 |
Total Debt | 0.35 |
Total Equity | 13.03 |
Total Capital | 13.38 |
Debt Weighting | 2.64 |
Equity Weighting | 97.36 |
Wacc |
Build Up Free Cash Flow
Year A/P | 2018 Actual | 2019 Actual | 2020 Actual | 2021 Actual | 2022 Actual | 2023 Projected | 2024 Projected | 2025 Projected | 2026 Projected | 2027 Projected |
Revenue | 19.81 | 32.20 | 41.14 | 46.61 | 60.60 | 80.83 | 107.83 | 143.85 | 191.89 | 255.98 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Operating Cash Flow | -2.63 | -8.13 | -13.64 | -14.28 | -31.82 | -25.03 | -33.39 | -44.54 | -59.41 | -79.25 |
Capital Expenditure | -0.32 | -1.36 | -0.49 | -0.59 | -0.99 | -1.60 | -2.13 | -2.85 | -3.80 | -5.07 |
Free Cash Flow | -2.94 | -9.48 | -14.13 | -14.87 | -32.81 | -26.63 | -35.52 | -47.38 | -63.21 | -84.32 |
WACC | ||||||||||
PV LFCF | -22.45 | -25.25 | -28.40 | -31.94 | -35.92 | |||||
SUM PV LFCF | -143.95 |
Terminal Value
Growth in perpetuity method: | |
---|---|
Long-term growth rate | |
WACC (%) | 18.61 |
Free cash flow (t + 1) | -86.01 |
Terminal Value | -517.80 |
Present Value of Terminal Value | -220.58 |
Intrinsic Value
Enterprise Value | -364.53 |
---|---|
Net Debt | -1.18 |
Equity Value | -363.35 |
Shares Outstanding | 6.61 |
Equity Value Per Share | -54.98 |