Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis Levered

Xcel Energy Inc. (XEL)

$68.1

-0.33 (-0.48%)
All numbers are in Millions, Currency in USD
Stock DCF: -167.01 | 68.1 | overvalue

Free Cash Flow

Year
A/P
2017
Actual
2018
Actual
2019
Actual
2020
Actual
2021
Actual
2022
Projected
2023
Projected
2024
Projected
2025
Projected
2026
Projected
Revenue 11,40411,53711,52911,52613,43114,021.9214,638.8415,282.9115,955.3116,657.29
Revenue (%)
Operating Cash Flow 3,1263,1223,2632,8482,1893,471.333,624.063,783.503,949.974,123.75
Operating Cash Flow (%)
Capital Expenditure -3,319-3,957-4,225-5,369-4,244-4,998.23-5,218.13-5,447.72-5,687.40-5,937.63
Capital Expenditure (%)
Free Cash Flow -193-835-962-2,521-2,055-1,526.90-1,594.08-1,664.21-1,737.43-1,813.87

Weighted Average Cost Of Capital

Share price $ 68.1
Beta 0.437
Diluted Shares Outstanding 528
Cost of Debt
Tax Rate -4.58
After-tax Cost of Debt 3.18%
Risk-Free Rate
Market Risk Premium
Cost of Equity 5.614
Total Debt 24,736
Total Equity 35,956.80
Total Capital 60,692.80
Debt Weighting 40.76
Equity Weighting 59.24
Wacc

Build Up Free Cash Flow

Year
A/P
2017
Actual
2018
Actual
2019
Actual
2020
Actual
2021
Actual
2022
Projected
2023
Projected
2024
Projected
2025
Projected
2026
Projected
Revenue 11,40411,53711,52911,52613,43114,021.9214,638.8415,282.9115,955.3116,657.29
Operating Cash Flow 3,1263,1223,2632,8482,1893,471.333,624.063,783.503,949.974,123.75
Capital Expenditure -3,319-3,957-4,225-5,369-4,244-4,998.23-5,218.13-5,447.72-5,687.40-5,937.63
Free Cash Flow -193-835-962-2,521-2,055-1,526.90-1,594.08-1,664.21-1,737.43-1,813.87
WACC
PV LFCF -1,459.47-1,456.40-1,453.33-1,450.27-1,447.22
SUM PV LFCF -7,266.69

Terminal Value

Growth in perpetuity method:
Long-term growth rate
WACC (%) 4.62
Free cash flow (t + 1) -1,850.15
Terminal Value -70,616.47
Present Value of Terminal Value -56,342.02

Intrinsic Value

Enterprise Value -63,608.71
Net Debt 24,570
Equity Value -88,178.71
Shares Outstanding 528
Equity Value Per Share -167.01