Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis Unlevered
Anmol India Limited (ANMOL.NS)
240.1 ₹
-1.55 (-0.64%)
All numbers are in Millions, Currency in USD
Operating Data
Year A/P | 2018 Actual | 2019 Actual | 2020 Actual | 2021 Actual | 2022 Actual | 2023 Projected | 2024 Projected | 2025 Projected | 2026 Projected | 2027 Projected |
Revenue | 2,985.65 | 5,470.46 | 5,519.15 | 6,912.62 | 10,593.90 | 14,900.79 | 20,958.61 | 29,479.21 | 41,463.80 | 58,320.66 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Revenue (%) | ||||||||||
EBITDA | 59.30 | 69.88 | 86.04 | 156.50 | 275.20 | 288.60 | 405.93 | 570.96 | 803.08 | 1,129.57 |
EBITDA (%) | ||||||||||
EBIT | 58.30 | 68.55 | 84.42 | 154.78 | 272.80 | 284.59 | 400.29 | 563.03 | 791.93 | 1,113.88 |
EBIT (%) | ||||||||||
Depreciation | 1 | 1.32 | 1.61 | 1.72 | 2.40 | 4.01 | 5.64 | 7.93 | 11.15 | 15.68 |
Depreciation (%) |
Balance Sheet Data
Year A/P | 2018 Actual | 2019 Actual | 2020 Actual | 2021 Actual | 2022 Actual | 2023 Projected | 2024 Projected | 2025 Projected | 2026 Projected | 2027 Projected |
Total Cash | 0.35 | 245.21 | 554.79 | 598.54 | 1,188.40 | 1,025.85 | 1,442.90 | 2,029.51 | 2,854.59 | 4,015.11 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total Cash (%) | ||||||||||
Account Receivables | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Account Receivables (%) | ||||||||||
Inventories | 184.62 | 323.28 | 571.35 | 273.86 | 983.80 | 1,063.72 | 1,496.17 | 2,104.43 | 2,959.98 | 4,163.34 |
Inventories (%) | ||||||||||
Accounts Payable | 341.39 | 586.10 | 30.80 | 312.38 | 6 | 813.05 | 1,143.59 | 1,608.51 | 2,262.43 | 3,182.21 |
Accounts Payable (%) | ||||||||||
Capital Expenditure | - | -7.45 | -7.52 | -9.42 | -14.44 | -20.30 | -28.56 | -40.17 | -56.50 | -79.47 |
Capital Expenditure (%) |
Weighted Average Cost Of Capital
Share price | $ 240.1 |
---|---|
Beta | 0.953 |
Diluted Shares Outstanding | 10.38 |
Cost of Debt | |
Tax Rate | 25.35 |
After-tax Cost of Debt | 2.69% |
Risk-Free Rate | |
Market Risk Premium | |
Cost of Equity | 8.283 |
Total Debt | 1,787.80 |
Total Equity | 2,492.92 |
Total Capital | 4,280.72 |
Debt Weighting | 41.76 |
Equity Weighting | 58.24 |
Wacc |
Build Up Free Cash
Year A/P | 2018 Actual | 2019 Actual | 2020 Actual | 2021 Actual | 2022 Actual | 2023 Projected | 2024 Projected | 2025 Projected | 2026 Projected | 2027 Projected |
Revenue | 2,985.65 | 5,470.46 | 5,519.15 | 6,912.62 | 10,593.90 | 14,900.79 | 20,958.61 | 29,479.21 | 41,463.80 | 58,320.66 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
EBITDA | 59.30 | 69.88 | 86.04 | 156.50 | 275.20 | 288.60 | 405.93 | 570.96 | 803.08 | 1,129.57 |
EBIT | 58.30 | 68.55 | 84.42 | 154.78 | 272.80 | 284.59 | 400.29 | 563.03 | 791.93 | 1,113.88 |
Tax Rate | 33.24% | 27.93% | 26.26% | 25.90% | 25.35% | 27.74% | 27.74% | 27.74% | 27.74% | 27.74% |
EBIAT | 38.92 | 49.41 | 62.25 | 114.68 | 203.65 | 205.66 | 289.27 | 406.87 | 572.28 | 804.93 |
Depreciation | 1 | 1.32 | 1.61 | 1.72 | 2.40 | 4.01 | 5.64 | 7.93 | 11.15 | 15.68 |
Accounts Receivable | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Inventories | - | -138.67 | -248.07 | 297.49 | -709.94 | -79.92 | -432.45 | -608.26 | -855.55 | -1,203.36 |
Accounts Payable | - | 244.71 | -555.29 | 281.58 | -306.38 | 807.05 | 330.54 | 464.92 | 653.93 | 919.78 |
Capital Expenditure | - | -7.45 | -7.52 | -2.64 | -6.10 | -20.30 | -28.56 | -40.17 | -56.50 | -79.47 |
UFCF | 39.92 | 149.32 | -747.02 | 686.06 | -824.71 | 916.48 | 164.43 | 231.28 | 325.31 | 457.56 |
WACC | ||||||||||
PV UFCF | 865.02 | 146.48 | 194.46 | 258.16 | 342.72 | |||||
SUM PV UFCF | 1,806.85 |
Terminal Value
Growth in perpetuity method: | |
---|---|
Long-term growth rate | |
WACC (%) | 5.95 |
Free cash flow (t + 1) | 466.71 |
Terminal Value | 11,815.53 |
Present Value of Terminal Value | 8,850.10 |
Intrinsic Value
Enterprise Value | 10,656.95 |
---|---|
Net Debt | 599.40 |
Equity Value | 10,057.55 |
Shares Outstanding | 10.38 |
Equity Value Per Share | 968.67 |