Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis Unlevered
Brookfield Business Partners L.P. (BBU-UN.TO)
$26.11
+1.06 (+4.23%)
All numbers are in Millions, Currency in USD
Operating Data
Year A/P | 2018 Actual | 2019 Actual | 2020 Actual | 2021 Actual | 2022 Actual | 2023 Projected | 2024 Projected | 2025 Projected | 2026 Projected | 2027 Projected |
Revenue | 37,168 | 43,032 | 37,635 | 46,587 | 57,545 | 64,816.26 | 73,006.30 | 82,231.22 | 92,621.78 | 104,325.27 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Revenue (%) | ||||||||||
EBITDA | 422 | 765 | 746 | 1,238 | -2,734 | 363.19 | 409.08 | 460.77 | 518.99 | 584.57 |
EBITDA (%) | ||||||||||
EBIT | -326 | -1,039 | -1,419 | -1,045 | -5,994 | -2,556.52 | -2,879.56 | -3,243.42 | -3,653.25 | -4,114.86 |
EBIT (%) | ||||||||||
Depreciation | 748 | 1,804 | 2,165 | 2,283 | 3,260 | 2,919.71 | 3,288.64 | 3,704.18 | 4,172.24 | 4,699.43 |
Depreciation (%) |
Balance Sheet Data
Year A/P | 2018 Actual | 2019 Actual | 2020 Actual | 2021 Actual | 2022 Actual | 2023 Projected | 2024 Projected | 2025 Projected | 2026 Projected | 2027 Projected |
Total Cash | 2,214 | 2,720 | 4,123 | 3,988 | 2,870 | 4,767.96 | 5,370.43 | 6,049.02 | 6,813.36 | 7,674.29 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total Cash (%) | ||||||||||
Account Receivables | 4,835 | 5,379 | 4,989 | 5,634 | 7,278 | 8,232.41 | 9,272.64 | 10,444.32 | 11,764.04 | 13,250.51 |
Account Receivables (%) | ||||||||||
Inventories | 1,562 | 3,490 | 3,696 | 4,512 | 7,712 | 5,862.01 | 6,602.72 | 7,437.03 | 8,376.75 | 9,435.22 |
Inventories (%) | ||||||||||
Accounts Payable | 1,819 | 2,919 | 2,971 | 3,665 | 3,947.38 | 4,446.16 | 5,007.97 | 5,640.77 | 6,353.52 | 7,156.34 |
Accounts Payable (%) | ||||||||||
Capital Expenditure | -545 | -1,205 | -1,405 | -1,450 | -1,748 | -1,834.28 | -2,066.06 | -2,327.12 | -2,621.17 | -2,952.38 |
Capital Expenditure (%) |
Weighted Average Cost Of Capital
Share price | $ 26.11 |
---|---|
Beta | 1.354 |
Diluted Shares Outstanding | 148 |
Cost of Debt | |
Tax Rate | -6.49 |
After-tax Cost of Debt | -5.44% |
Risk-Free Rate | |
Market Risk Premium | |
Cost of Equity | 10.083 |
Total Debt | 46,693 |
Total Equity | 3,864.28 |
Total Capital | 50,557.28 |
Debt Weighting | 92.36 |
Equity Weighting | 7.64 |
Wacc |
Build Up Free Cash
Year A/P | 2018 Actual | 2019 Actual | 2020 Actual | 2021 Actual | 2022 Actual | 2023 Projected | 2024 Projected | 2025 Projected | 2026 Projected | 2027 Projected |
Revenue | 37,168 | 43,032 | 37,635 | 46,587 | 57,545 | 64,816.26 | 73,006.30 | 82,231.22 | 92,621.78 | 104,325.27 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
EBITDA | 422 | 765 | 746 | 1,238 | -2,734 | 363.19 | 409.08 | 460.77 | 518.99 | 584.57 |
EBIT | -326 | -1,039 | -1,419 | -1,045 | -5,994 | -2,556.52 | -2,879.56 | -3,243.42 | -3,653.25 | -4,114.86 |
Tax Rate | 94.31% | 93.13% | 112.40% | 88.87% | -6.49% | 76.44% | 76.44% | 76.44% | 76.44% | 76.44% |
EBIAT | -18.54 | -71.37 | 175.93 | -116.31 | -6,383.22 | -602.23 | -678.33 | -764.04 | -860.58 | -969.32 |
Depreciation | 748 | 1,804 | 2,165 | 2,283 | 3,260 | 2,919.71 | 3,288.64 | 3,704.18 | 4,172.24 | 4,699.43 |
Accounts Receivable | - | -544 | 390 | -645 | -1,644 | -954.41 | -1,040.23 | -1,171.67 | -1,319.72 | -1,486.48 |
Inventories | - | -1,928 | -206 | -816 | -3,200 | 1,849.99 | -740.71 | -834.31 | -939.73 | -1,058.47 |
Accounts Payable | - | 1,100 | 52 | 694 | 282.38 | 498.78 | 561.81 | 632.80 | 712.76 | 802.82 |
Capital Expenditure | -545 | -1,205 | -1,405 | -1,450 | -1,748 | -1,834.28 | -2,066.06 | -2,327.12 | -2,621.17 | -2,952.38 |
UFCF | 184.46 | -844.37 | 1,171.93 | -50.31 | -9,432.84 | 1,877.56 | -674.88 | -760.16 | -856.21 | -964.40 |
WACC | ||||||||||
PV UFCF | 1,960.89 | -736.12 | -865.94 | -1,018.65 | -1,198.29 | |||||
SUM PV UFCF | -1,858.10 |
Terminal Value
Growth in perpetuity method: | |
---|---|
Long-term growth rate | |
WACC (%) | -4.25 |
Free cash flow (t + 1) | -983.68 |
Terminal Value | 15,738.95 |
Present Value of Terminal Value | 19,556.09 |
Intrinsic Value
Enterprise Value | 17,697.98 |
---|---|
Net Debt | 43,823 |
Equity Value | -26,125.02 |
Shares Outstanding | 148 |
Equity Value Per Share | -176.52 |