Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis Unlevered
Best Buy Co., Inc. (BBY)
$75.36
-0.32 (-0.42%)
All numbers are in Millions, Currency in USD
Operating Data
Year A/P | 2019 Actual | 2020 Actual | 2021 Actual | 2022 Actual | 2023 Actual | 2024 Projected | 2025 Projected | 2026 Projected | 2027 Projected | 2028 Projected |
Revenue | 42,879 | 43,638 | 47,262 | 51,761 | 46,298 | 47,344.31 | 48,414.27 | 49,508.40 | 50,627.27 | 51,771.41 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Revenue (%) | ||||||||||
EBITDA | 2,731 | 2,869 | 3,268 | 3,922 | 2,742 | 3,158.61 | 3,230 | 3,302.99 | 3,377.64 | 3,453.97 |
EBITDA (%) | ||||||||||
EBIT | 1,961 | 2,057 | 2,429 | 3,053 | 1,824 | 2,297.57 | 2,349.50 | 2,402.59 | 2,456.89 | 2,512.42 |
EBIT (%) | ||||||||||
Depreciation | 770 | 812 | 839 | 869 | 918 | 861.04 | 880.50 | 900.40 | 920.75 | 941.56 |
Depreciation (%) |
Balance Sheet Data
Year A/P | 2019 Actual | 2020 Actual | 2021 Actual | 2022 Actual | 2023 Actual | 2024 Projected | 2025 Projected | 2026 Projected | 2027 Projected | 2028 Projected |
Total Cash | 1,980 | 2,229 | 5,494 | 2,936 | 1,874 | 2,941.98 | 3,008.47 | 3,076.46 | 3,145.98 | 3,217.08 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total Cash (%) | ||||||||||
Account Receivables | 1,015 | 1,149 | 1,061 | 1,042 | 1,141 | 1,110 | 1,135.09 | 1,160.74 | 1,186.97 | 1,213.80 |
Account Receivables (%) | ||||||||||
Inventories | 5,409 | 5,174 | 5,612 | 5,965 | 5,140 | 5,583.93 | 5,710.13 | 5,839.17 | 5,971.14 | 6,106.08 |
Inventories (%) | ||||||||||
Accounts Payable | 5,257 | 5,288 | 6,979 | 6,803 | 5,687 | 6,114.15 | 6,252.33 | 6,393.63 | 6,538.12 | 6,685.88 |
Accounts Payable (%) | ||||||||||
Capital Expenditure | -819 | -743 | -713 | -737 | -930 | -809.95 | -828.26 | -846.98 | -866.12 | -885.69 |
Capital Expenditure (%) |
Weighted Average Cost Of Capital
Share price | $ 75.36 |
---|---|
Beta | 1.521 |
Diluted Shares Outstanding | 225.70 |
Cost of Debt | |
Tax Rate | 20.64 |
After-tax Cost of Debt | 0.70% |
Risk-Free Rate | |
Market Risk Premium | |
Cost of Equity | 10.894 |
Total Debt | 3,978 |
Total Equity | 17,008.75 |
Total Capital | 20,986.75 |
Debt Weighting | 18.95 |
Equity Weighting | 81.05 |
Wacc |
Build Up Free Cash
Year A/P | 2019 Actual | 2020 Actual | 2021 Actual | 2022 Actual | 2023 Actual | 2024 Projected | 2025 Projected | 2026 Projected | 2027 Projected | 2028 Projected |
Revenue | 42,879 | 43,638 | 47,262 | 51,761 | 46,298 | 47,344.31 | 48,414.27 | 49,508.40 | 50,627.27 | 51,771.41 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
EBITDA | 2,731 | 2,869 | 3,268 | 3,922 | 2,742 | 3,158.61 | 3,230 | 3,302.99 | 3,377.64 | 3,453.97 |
EBIT | 1,961 | 2,057 | 2,429 | 3,053 | 1,824 | 2,297.57 | 2,349.50 | 2,402.59 | 2,456.89 | 2,512.42 |
Tax Rate | 22.46% | 22.68% | 24.36% | 18.85% | 20.64% | 21.80% | 21.80% | 21.80% | 21.80% | 21.80% |
EBIAT | 1,520.61 | 1,590.49 | 1,837.33 | 2,477.53 | 1,447.57 | 1,796.78 | 1,837.39 | 1,878.91 | 1,921.38 | 1,964.80 |
Depreciation | 770 | 812 | 839 | 869 | 918 | 861.04 | 880.50 | 900.40 | 920.75 | 941.56 |
Accounts Receivable | - | -134 | 88 | 19 | -99 | 31 | -25.09 | -25.65 | -26.23 | -26.82 |
Inventories | - | 235 | -438 | -353 | 825 | -443.93 | -126.19 | -129.05 | -131.96 | -134.94 |
Accounts Payable | - | 31 | 1,691 | -176 | -1,116 | 427.15 | 138.18 | 141.30 | 144.49 | 147.76 |
Capital Expenditure | -819 | -743 | -713 | -737 | -930 | -809.95 | -828.26 | -846.98 | -866.12 | -885.69 |
UFCF | 1,471.61 | 1,791.49 | 3,304.33 | 2,099.53 | 1,045.57 | 1,862.09 | 1,876.53 | 1,918.94 | 1,962.31 | 2,006.65 |
WACC | ||||||||||
PV UFCF | 1,708.96 | 1,580.60 | 1,483.41 | 1,392.19 | 1,306.58 | |||||
SUM PV UFCF | 7,471.74 |
Terminal Value
Growth in perpetuity method: | |
---|---|
Long-term growth rate | |
WACC (%) | 8.96 |
Free cash flow (t + 1) | 2,046.79 |
Terminal Value | 29,407.84 |
Present Value of Terminal Value | 19,148.19 |
Intrinsic Value
Enterprise Value | 26,619.93 |
---|---|
Net Debt | 2,104 |
Equity Value | 24,515.93 |
Shares Outstanding | 225.70 |
Equity Value Per Share | 108.62 |