Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis Unlevered
BCE Inc. (BCE.TO)
$61.34
+0.12 (+0.20%)
All numbers are in Millions, Currency in USD
Operating Data
Year A/P | 2018 Actual | 2019 Actual | 2020 Actual | 2021 Actual | 2022 Actual | 2023 Projected | 2024 Projected | 2025 Projected | 2026 Projected | 2027 Projected |
Revenue | 23,468 | 23,964 | 22,883 | 23,449 | 24,174 | 24,365.45 | 24,558.41 | 24,752.91 | 24,948.94 | 25,146.53 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Revenue (%) | ||||||||||
EBITDA | 9,007 | 9,917 | 8,986 | 9,595 | 9,704 | 9,750.71 | 9,827.94 | 9,905.77 | 9,984.22 | 10,063.29 |
EBITDA (%) | ||||||||||
EBIT | 4,993 | 5,519 | 4,582 | 4,986 | 4,981 | 5,175.11 | 5,216.09 | 5,257.40 | 5,299.04 | 5,341.01 |
EBIT (%) | ||||||||||
Depreciation | 4,014 | 4,398 | 4,404 | 4,609 | 4,723 | 4,575.60 | 4,611.84 | 4,648.37 | 4,685.18 | 4,722.28 |
Depreciation (%) |
Balance Sheet Data
Year A/P | 2018 Actual | 2019 Actual | 2020 Actual | 2021 Actual | 2022 Actual | 2023 Projected | 2024 Projected | 2025 Projected | 2026 Projected | 2027 Projected |
Total Cash | 425 | 145 | 224 | 207 | 149 | 238.49 | 240.38 | 242.29 | 244.20 | 246.14 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total Cash (%) | ||||||||||
Account Receivables | 3,993 | 4,149 | 4,215 | 4,363 | 4,574 | 4,399.20 | 4,434.04 | 4,469.16 | 4,504.55 | 4,540.23 |
Account Receivables (%) | ||||||||||
Inventories | 432 | 427 | 439 | 482 | 656 | 502.43 | 506.41 | 510.42 | 514.46 | 518.54 |
Inventories (%) | ||||||||||
Accounts Payable | 2,535 | 2,604 | 2,595 | 2,931 | 5,221 | 3,270.12 | 3,296.01 | 3,322.12 | 3,348.43 | 3,374.95 |
Accounts Payable (%) | ||||||||||
Capital Expenditure | -4,027 | -3,988 | -4,288 | -6,919 | -5,136 | -5,033.54 | -5,073.40 | -5,113.58 | -5,154.08 | -5,194.90 |
Capital Expenditure (%) |
Weighted Average Cost Of Capital
Share price | $ 61.34 |
---|---|
Beta | 0.493 |
Diluted Shares Outstanding | 912 |
Cost of Debt | |
Tax Rate | 26.33 |
After-tax Cost of Debt | 2.64% |
Risk-Free Rate | |
Market Risk Premium | |
Cost of Equity | 6.113 |
Total Debt | 31,920 |
Total Equity | 55,942.08 |
Total Capital | 87,862.08 |
Debt Weighting | 36.33 |
Equity Weighting | 63.67 |
Wacc |
Build Up Free Cash
Year A/P | 2018 Actual | 2019 Actual | 2020 Actual | 2021 Actual | 2022 Actual | 2023 Projected | 2024 Projected | 2025 Projected | 2026 Projected | 2027 Projected |
Revenue | 23,468 | 23,964 | 22,883 | 23,449 | 24,174 | 24,365.45 | 24,558.41 | 24,752.91 | 24,948.94 | 25,146.53 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
EBITDA | 9,007 | 9,917 | 8,986 | 9,595 | 9,704 | 9,750.71 | 9,827.94 | 9,905.77 | 9,984.22 | 10,063.29 |
EBIT | 4,993 | 5,519 | 4,582 | 4,986 | 4,981 | 5,175.11 | 5,216.09 | 5,257.40 | 5,299.04 | 5,341.01 |
Tax Rate | 26.18% | 27.25% | 19.33% | 27.85% | 26.33% | 25.39% | 25.39% | 25.39% | 25.39% | 25.39% |
EBIAT | 3,685.61 | 4,015.31 | 3,696.47 | 3,597.62 | 3,669.54 | 3,861.34 | 3,891.92 | 3,922.75 | 3,953.81 | 3,985.13 |
Depreciation | 4,014 | 4,398 | 4,404 | 4,609 | 4,723 | 4,575.60 | 4,611.84 | 4,648.37 | 4,685.18 | 4,722.28 |
Accounts Receivable | - | -156 | -66 | -148 | -211 | 174.80 | -34.84 | -35.12 | -35.39 | -35.67 |
Inventories | - | 5 | -12 | -43 | -174 | 153.57 | -3.98 | -4.01 | -4.04 | -4.07 |
Accounts Payable | - | 69 | -9 | 336 | 2,290 | -1,950.88 | 25.90 | 26.10 | 26.31 | 26.52 |
Capital Expenditure | -4,027 | -3,988 | -4,288 | -6,919 | -5,136 | -5,033.54 | -5,073.40 | -5,113.58 | -5,154.08 | -5,194.90 |
UFCF | 3,672.61 | 4,343.31 | 3,725.47 | 1,432.62 | 5,161.54 | 1,780.89 | 3,417.44 | 3,444.51 | 3,471.79 | 3,499.28 |
WACC | ||||||||||
PV UFCF | 1,698.52 | 3,108.60 | 2,988.28 | 2,872.63 | 2,761.45 | |||||
SUM PV UFCF | 13,429.47 |
Terminal Value
Growth in perpetuity method: | |
---|---|
Long-term growth rate | |
WACC (%) | 4.85 |
Free cash flow (t + 1) | 3,569.27 |
Terminal Value | 125,237.45 |
Present Value of Terminal Value | 98,830.74 |
Intrinsic Value
Enterprise Value | 112,260.21 |
---|---|
Net Debt | 31,771 |
Equity Value | 80,489.21 |
Shares Outstanding | 912 |
Equity Value Per Share | 88.26 |