Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis Unlevered
Brookfield Infrastructure Partners ... (BIP-UN.TO)
$49.21
+0.13 (+0.26%)
All numbers are in Millions, Currency in USD
Operating Data
Year A/P | 2018 Actual | 2019 Actual | 2020 Actual | 2021 Actual | 2022 Actual | 2023 Projected | 2024 Projected | 2025 Projected | 2026 Projected | 2027 Projected |
Revenue | 4,652 | 6,597 | 8,885 | 11,537 | 14,427 | 19,165.92 | 25,461.46 | 33,824.93 | 44,935.60 | 59,695.86 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Revenue (%) | ||||||||||
EBITDA | 2,037 | 2,524 | 3,359 | 4,653 | 4,914 | 7,445.77 | 9,891.52 | 13,140.65 | 17,457.03 | 23,191.24 |
EBITDA (%) | ||||||||||
EBIT | 1,236 | 1,310 | 1,654 | 2,617 | 2,756 | 4,094.95 | 5,440.04 | 7,226.97 | 9,600.85 | 12,754.50 |
EBIT (%) | ||||||||||
Depreciation | 801 | 1,214 | 1,705 | 2,036 | 2,158 | 3,350.82 | 4,451.48 | 5,913.68 | 7,856.18 | 10,436.74 |
Depreciation (%) |
Balance Sheet Data
Year A/P | 2018 Actual | 2019 Actual | 2020 Actual | 2021 Actual | 2022 Actual | 2023 Projected | 2024 Projected | 2025 Projected | 2026 Projected | 2027 Projected |
Total Cash | 630 | 866 | 1,316 | 1,806 | 1,279 | 2,529.92 | 3,360.94 | 4,464.93 | 5,931.55 | 7,879.92 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total Cash (%) | ||||||||||
Account Receivables | 1,105 | 1,802 | 1,531 | 1,923 | 3,064.59 | 4,071.23 | 5,408.53 | 7,185.10 | 9,545.23 | 12,680.61 |
Account Receivables (%) | ||||||||||
Inventories | 141 | 242 | 221 | 400 | 456.39 | 606.30 | 805.46 | 1,070.03 | 1,421.51 | 1,888.44 |
Inventories (%) | ||||||||||
Accounts Payable | 463 | 854 | 1,461 | 1,877 | 2,005.74 | 2,664.58 | 3,539.83 | 4,702.58 | 6,247.26 | 8,299.34 |
Accounts Payable (%) | ||||||||||
Capital Expenditure | -839 | -1,182 | -1,472 | -2,067 | -2,734 | -3,426.35 | -4,551.83 | -6,046.99 | -8,033.28 | -10,672.02 |
Capital Expenditure (%) |
Weighted Average Cost Of Capital
Share price | $ 49.21 |
---|---|
Beta | 0.892 |
Diluted Shares Outstanding | 442.05 |
Cost of Debt | |
Tax Rate | 82.38 |
After-tax Cost of Debt | 1.08% |
Risk-Free Rate | |
Market Risk Premium | |
Cost of Equity | 7.922 |
Total Debt | 30,233 |
Total Equity | 21,753.28 |
Total Capital | 51,986.28 |
Debt Weighting | 58.16 |
Equity Weighting | 41.84 |
Wacc |
Build Up Free Cash
Year A/P | 2018 Actual | 2019 Actual | 2020 Actual | 2021 Actual | 2022 Actual | 2023 Projected | 2024 Projected | 2025 Projected | 2026 Projected | 2027 Projected |
Revenue | 4,652 | 6,597 | 8,885 | 11,537 | 14,427 | 19,165.92 | 25,461.46 | 33,824.93 | 44,935.60 | 59,695.86 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
EBITDA | 2,037 | 2,524 | 3,359 | 4,653 | 4,914 | 7,445.77 | 9,891.52 | 13,140.65 | 17,457.03 | 23,191.24 |
EBIT | 1,236 | 1,310 | 1,654 | 2,617 | 2,756 | 4,094.95 | 5,440.04 | 7,226.97 | 9,600.85 | 12,754.50 |
Tax Rate | 71.88% | 77.26% | 72.89% | 77.02% | 82.38% | 76.29% | 76.29% | 76.29% | 76.29% | 76.29% |
EBIAT | 347.56 | 297.86 | 448.45 | 601.45 | 485.68 | 971.12 | 1,290.10 | 1,713.87 | 2,276.84 | 3,024.72 |
Depreciation | 801 | 1,214 | 1,705 | 2,036 | 2,158 | 3,350.82 | 4,451.48 | 5,913.68 | 7,856.18 | 10,436.74 |
Accounts Receivable | - | -697 | 271 | -392 | -1,141.59 | -1,006.64 | -1,337.30 | -1,776.57 | -2,360.13 | -3,135.38 |
Inventories | - | -101 | 21 | -179 | -56.39 | -149.91 | -199.16 | -264.57 | -351.48 | -466.93 |
Accounts Payable | - | 391 | 607 | 416 | 128.74 | 658.84 | 875.25 | 1,162.75 | 1,544.68 | 2,052.08 |
Capital Expenditure | -839 | -1,182 | -1,472 | -2,067 | -2,734 | -3,426.35 | -4,551.83 | -6,046.99 | -8,033.28 | -10,672.02 |
UFCF | 309.56 | -77.14 | 1,580.45 | 415.45 | -1,159.55 | 397.86 | 528.55 | 702.17 | 932.81 | 1,239.22 |
WACC | ||||||||||
PV UFCF | 382.78 | 489.24 | 625.30 | 799.21 | 1,021.49 | |||||
SUM PV UFCF | 3,318.03 |
Terminal Value
Growth in perpetuity method: | |
---|---|
Long-term growth rate | |
WACC (%) | 3.94 |
Free cash flow (t + 1) | 1,264 |
Terminal Value | 65,154.68 |
Present Value of Terminal Value | 53,707.14 |
Intrinsic Value
Enterprise Value | 57,025.17 |
---|---|
Net Debt | 28,954 |
Equity Value | 28,071.17 |
Shares Outstanding | 442.05 |
Equity Value Per Share | 63.50 |