Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis Unlevered
Leon's Furniture Limited (LNF.TO)
$19.36
+0.25 (+1.31%)
All numbers are in Millions, Currency in USD
Operating Data
Year A/P | 2018 Actual | 2019 Actual | 2020 Actual | 2021 Actual | 2022 Actual | 2023 Projected | 2024 Projected | 2025 Projected | 2026 Projected | 2027 Projected |
Revenue | 2,241.44 | 2,283.41 | 2,220.18 | 2,512.67 | 2,517.66 | 2,596.19 | 2,677.16 | 2,760.66 | 2,846.77 | 2,935.56 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Revenue (%) | ||||||||||
EBITDA | 191.22 | 294.29 | 348.79 | 406.91 | 369.19 | 353.02 | 364.03 | 375.38 | 387.09 | 399.17 |
EBITDA (%) | ||||||||||
EBIT | 154.07 | 171.60 | 237.50 | 294.90 | 259.23 | 244.66 | 252.29 | 260.16 | 268.27 | 276.64 |
EBIT (%) | ||||||||||
Depreciation | 37.16 | 122.70 | 111.29 | 112.01 | 109.97 | 108.36 | 111.74 | 115.23 | 118.82 | 122.53 |
Depreciation (%) |
Balance Sheet Data
Year A/P | 2018 Actual | 2019 Actual | 2020 Actual | 2021 Actual | 2022 Actual | 2023 Projected | 2024 Projected | 2025 Projected | 2026 Projected | 2027 Projected |
Total Cash | 178.89 | 197.18 | 490.83 | 489.95 | 225.96 | 348.92 | 359.80 | 371.02 | 382.59 | 394.53 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total Cash (%) | ||||||||||
Account Receivables | 130.54 | 144.11 | 134.85 | 162.33 | 188.71 | 167.01 | 172.22 | 177.59 | 183.13 | 188.85 |
Account Receivables (%) | ||||||||||
Inventories | 329.32 | 334.44 | 332.07 | 395.65 | 410.61 | 396.44 | 408.81 | 421.56 | 434.71 | 448.27 |
Inventories (%) | ||||||||||
Accounts Payable | 203.60 | 134.01 | 171.62 | 145.30 | 141.20 | 176.92 | 182.44 | 188.13 | 194 | 200.05 |
Accounts Payable (%) | ||||||||||
Capital Expenditure | -20.79 | -34.17 | -44.49 | -16.40 | -27.84 | -32.12 | -33.12 | -34.15 | -35.22 | -36.32 |
Capital Expenditure (%) |
Weighted Average Cost Of Capital
Share price | $ 19.36 |
---|---|
Beta | 0.637 |
Diluted Shares Outstanding | 68.16 |
Cost of Debt | |
Tax Rate | 24.04 |
After-tax Cost of Debt | 3.55% |
Risk-Free Rate | |
Market Risk Premium | |
Cost of Equity | 7.565 |
Total Debt | 557.23 |
Total Equity | 1,319.67 |
Total Capital | 1,876.90 |
Debt Weighting | 29.69 |
Equity Weighting | 70.31 |
Wacc |
Build Up Free Cash
Year A/P | 2018 Actual | 2019 Actual | 2020 Actual | 2021 Actual | 2022 Actual | 2023 Projected | 2024 Projected | 2025 Projected | 2026 Projected | 2027 Projected |
Revenue | 2,241.44 | 2,283.41 | 2,220.18 | 2,512.67 | 2,517.66 | 2,596.19 | 2,677.16 | 2,760.66 | 2,846.77 | 2,935.56 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
EBITDA | 191.22 | 294.29 | 348.79 | 406.91 | 369.19 | 353.02 | 364.03 | 375.38 | 387.09 | 399.17 |
EBIT | 154.07 | 171.60 | 237.50 | 294.90 | 259.23 | 244.66 | 252.29 | 260.16 | 268.27 | 276.64 |
Tax Rate | 26.27% | 25.25% | 22.44% | 25.05% | 24.04% | 24.61% | 24.61% | 24.61% | 24.61% | 24.61% |
EBIAT | 113.59 | 128.27 | 184.20 | 221.04 | 196.90 | 184.45 | 190.20 | 196.13 | 202.25 | 208.56 |
Depreciation | 37.16 | 122.70 | 111.29 | 112.01 | 109.97 | 108.36 | 111.74 | 115.23 | 118.82 | 122.53 |
Accounts Receivable | - | -13.57 | 9.27 | -27.49 | -26.37 | 21.70 | -5.21 | -5.37 | -5.54 | -5.71 |
Inventories | - | -5.13 | 2.37 | -63.57 | -14.97 | 14.17 | -12.37 | -12.75 | -13.15 | -13.56 |
Accounts Payable | - | -69.59 | 37.60 | -26.32 | -4.10 | 35.72 | 5.52 | 5.69 | 5.87 | 6.05 |
Capital Expenditure | -20.79 | -34.17 | -44.49 | -16.40 | -27.84 | -32.12 | -33.12 | -34.15 | -35.22 | -36.32 |
UFCF | 129.96 | 128.51 | 300.24 | 199.28 | 233.59 | 332.28 | 256.77 | 264.77 | 273.03 | 281.55 |
WACC | ||||||||||
PV UFCF | 312.38 | 226.93 | 220 | 213.27 | 206.76 | |||||
SUM PV UFCF | 1,179.34 |
Terminal Value
Growth in perpetuity method: | |
---|---|
Long-term growth rate | |
WACC (%) | 6.37 |
Free cash flow (t + 1) | 287.18 |
Terminal Value | 6,571.61 |
Present Value of Terminal Value | 4,825.88 |
Intrinsic Value
Enterprise Value | 6,005.21 |
---|---|
Net Debt | 442.10 |
Equity Value | 5,563.11 |
Shares Outstanding | 68.16 |
Equity Value Per Share | 81.61 |