Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis Unlevered
Vetoquinol SA (VETO.PA)
127.4 €
+1.40 (+1.11%)
All numbers are in Millions, Currency in USD
Operating Data
Year A/P | 2017 Actual | 2018 Actual | 2019 Actual | 2020 Actual | 2021 Actual | 2022 Projected | 2023 Projected | 2024 Projected | 2025 Projected | 2026 Projected |
Revenue | 352.17 | 367.94 | 395.99 | 427.47 | 521.27 | 576 | 636.47 | 703.29 | 777.12 | 858.71 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Revenue (%) | ||||||||||
EBITDA | 55.60 | 61.10 | 65.52 | 82.83 | 118.86 | 104.97 | 115.99 | 128.16 | 141.62 | 156.49 |
EBITDA (%) | ||||||||||
EBIT | 43.56 | 48.62 | 41.43 | 36.68 | 87.25 | 70.70 | 78.12 | 86.32 | 95.38 | 105.39 |
EBIT (%) | ||||||||||
Depreciation | 12.03 | 12.48 | 24.08 | 46.15 | 31.61 | 34.27 | 37.87 | 41.84 | 46.24 | 51.09 |
Depreciation (%) |
Balance Sheet Data
Year A/P | 2017 Actual | 2018 Actual | 2019 Actual | 2020 Actual | 2021 Actual | 2022 Projected | 2023 Projected | 2024 Projected | 2025 Projected | 2026 Projected |
Total Cash | 113.02 | 117.63 | 84.51 | 129.44 | 69 | 148.52 | 164.11 | 181.34 | 200.38 | 221.41 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total Cash (%) | ||||||||||
Account Receivables | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Account Receivables (%) | ||||||||||
Inventories | 69.38 | 77.16 | 77.35 | 85.53 | 111.59 | 117.07 | 129.36 | 142.94 | 157.94 | 174.52 |
Inventories (%) | ||||||||||
Accounts Payable | 24.84 | 25.65 | 30.44 | 41.47 | 46.94 | 46.56 | 51.45 | 56.85 | 62.82 | 69.41 |
Accounts Payable (%) | ||||||||||
Capital Expenditure | -13.70 | -14.22 | -14.33 | -145.46 | -32.40 | -59.47 | -65.71 | -72.61 | -80.23 | -88.65 |
Capital Expenditure (%) |
Weighted Average Cost Of Capital
Share price | $ 127.4 |
---|---|
Beta | 0.672 |
Diluted Shares Outstanding | 11.83 |
Cost of Debt | |
Tax Rate | 27.34 |
After-tax Cost of Debt | 2.91% |
Risk-Free Rate | |
Market Risk Premium | |
Cost of Equity | 6.063 |
Total Debt | 15.38 |
Total Equity | 1,507.56 |
Total Capital | 1,522.94 |
Debt Weighting | 1.01 |
Equity Weighting | 98.99 |
Wacc |
Build Up Free Cash
Year A/P | 2017 Actual | 2018 Actual | 2019 Actual | 2020 Actual | 2021 Actual | 2022 Projected | 2023 Projected | 2024 Projected | 2025 Projected | 2026 Projected |
Revenue | 352.17 | 367.94 | 395.99 | 427.47 | 521.27 | 576 | 636.47 | 703.29 | 777.12 | 858.71 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
EBITDA | 55.60 | 61.10 | 65.52 | 82.83 | 118.86 | 104.97 | 115.99 | 128.16 | 141.62 | 156.49 |
EBIT | 43.56 | 48.62 | 41.43 | 36.68 | 87.25 | 70.70 | 78.12 | 86.32 | 95.38 | 105.39 |
Tax Rate | 19.59% | 25.36% | 29.72% | 45.98% | 27.34% | 29.60% | 29.60% | 29.60% | 29.60% | 29.60% |
EBIAT | 35.03 | 36.29 | 29.12 | 19.82 | 63.40 | 49.77 | 55 | 60.77 | 67.15 | 74.20 |
Depreciation | 12.03 | 12.48 | 24.08 | 46.15 | 31.61 | 34.27 | 37.87 | 41.84 | 46.24 | 51.09 |
Accounts Receivable | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Inventories | - | -7.78 | -0.20 | -8.17 | -26.07 | -5.47 | -12.29 | -13.58 | -15.01 | -16.58 |
Accounts Payable | - | 0.81 | 4.79 | 11.02 | 5.47 | -0.37 | 4.89 | 5.40 | 5.97 | 6.60 |
Capital Expenditure | -13.71 | -14.22 | -14.33 | -145.46 | -32.40 | -59.47 | -65.71 | -72.61 | -80.23 | -88.65 |
UFCF | 33.36 | 27.59 | 43.46 | -76.65 | 42 | 18.73 | 19.75 | 21.83 | 24.12 | 26.65 |
WACC | ||||||||||
PV UFCF | 17.66 | 17.57 | 18.31 | 19.08 | 19.89 | |||||
SUM PV UFCF | 92.51 |
Terminal Value
Growth in perpetuity method: | |
---|---|
Long-term growth rate | |
WACC (%) | 6.03 |
Free cash flow (t + 1) | 27.18 |
Terminal Value | 674.52 |
Present Value of Terminal Value | 503.32 |
Intrinsic Value
Enterprise Value | 595.84 |
---|---|
Net Debt | -53.62 |
Equity Value | 649.45 |
Shares Outstanding | 11.83 |
Equity Value Per Share | 54.88 |