Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis Unlevered

Voltas Limited (VOLTAS.NS)

845.1 ₹

+8.45 (+1.01%)
All numbers are in Millions, Currency in USD
Stock DCF: 628.61 | 845.1 | overvalue

Operating Data

Year
A/P
2018
Actual
2019
Actual
2020
Actual
2021
Actual
2022
Actual
2023
Projected
2024
Projected
2025
Projected
2026
Projected
2027
Projected
Revenue 63,567.9070,845.9076,271.5074,565.5078,410.7082,728.6987,284.4692,091.1297,162.47102,513.10
Revenue (%)
EBITDA 8,356.807,2847,9357,6567,585.208,897.069,387.019,903.9410,449.3411,024.77
EBITDA (%)
EBIT 8,113.307,044.207,615.407,317.107,212.608,554.529,025.619,522.6410,047.0410,600.32
EBIT (%)
Depreciation 243.50239.80319.60338.90372.60342.54361.40381.30402.30424.46
Depreciation (%)

Balance Sheet Data

Year
A/P
2018
Actual
2019
Actual
2020
Actual
2021
Actual
2022
Actual
2023
Projected
2024
Projected
2025
Projected
2026
Projected
2027
Projected
Total Cash 8,23115,990.108,712.707,379.8010,857.9011,695.5912,339.6513,019.1813,736.1414,492.57
Total Cash (%)
Account Receivables ----------
Account Receivables (%)
Inventories 8,129.9010,906.6014,689.4012,79616,613.9014,195.0114,976.7115,801.4716,671.6317,589.72
Inventories (%)
Accounts Payable 21,764.1023,744.9026,888.9024,645.3029,420.5028,720.2430,301.8431,970.5233,731.1035,588.64
Accounts Payable (%)
Capital Expenditure -346.10-817.70-905-208.20-481.60-625.20-659.63-695.96-734.28-774.72
Capital Expenditure (%)

Weighted Average Cost Of Capital

Share price $ 845.1
Beta 0.464
Diluted Shares Outstanding 330.98
Cost of Debt
Tax Rate 27.71
After-tax Cost of Debt 5.18%
Risk-Free Rate
Market Risk Premium
Cost of Equity 5.691
Total Debt 3,608.30
Total Equity 279,715.34
Total Capital 283,323.64
Debt Weighting 1.27
Equity Weighting 98.73
Wacc

Build Up Free Cash

Year
A/P
2018
Actual
2019
Actual
2020
Actual
2021
Actual
2022
Actual
2023
Projected
2024
Projected
2025
Projected
2026
Projected
2027
Projected
Revenue 63,567.9070,845.9076,271.5074,565.5078,410.7082,728.6987,284.4692,091.1297,162.47102,513.10
EBITDA 8,356.807,2847,9357,6567,585.208,897.069,387.019,903.9410,449.3411,024.77
EBIT 8,113.307,044.207,615.407,317.107,212.608,554.529,025.619,522.6410,047.0410,600.32
Tax Rate 28.89%25.02%30.52%25.95%27.71%27.62%27.62%27.62%27.62%27.62%
EBIAT 5,769.655,281.625,291.525,4185,214.116,1926,532.986,892.757,272.327,672.80
Depreciation 243.50239.80319.60338.90372.60342.54361.40381.30402.30424.46
Accounts Receivable ----------
Inventories --2,776.70-3,782.801,893.40-3,817.902,418.89-781.70-824.75-870.17-918.09
Accounts Payable -1,980.803,144-2,243.604,775.20-700.261,581.591,668.691,760.581,857.53
Capital Expenditure -346.10-817.70-905-208.20-481.60-625.20-659.63-695.96-734.28-774.72
UFCF 5,667.063,907.824,067.325,198.506,062.417,627.977,034.647,422.037,830.768,261.99
WACC
PV UFCF 7,217.996,298.786,288.466,278.166,267.88
SUM PV UFCF 32,351.27

Terminal Value

Growth in perpetuity method:
Long-term growth rate
WACC (%) 5.68
Free cash flow (t + 1) 8,427.23
Terminal Value 229,000.71
Present Value of Terminal Value 173,729.19

Intrinsic Value

Enterprise Value 206,080.46
Net Debt -1,980.70
Equity Value 208,061.16
Shares Outstanding 330.98
Equity Value Per Share 628.61