Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis Unlevered
Voltas Limited (VOLTAS.NS)
845.1 ₹
+8.45 (+1.01%)
All numbers are in Millions, Currency in USD
Operating Data
Year A/P | 2018 Actual | 2019 Actual | 2020 Actual | 2021 Actual | 2022 Actual | 2023 Projected | 2024 Projected | 2025 Projected | 2026 Projected | 2027 Projected |
Revenue | 63,567.90 | 70,845.90 | 76,271.50 | 74,565.50 | 78,410.70 | 82,728.69 | 87,284.46 | 92,091.12 | 97,162.47 | 102,513.10 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Revenue (%) | ||||||||||
EBITDA | 8,356.80 | 7,284 | 7,935 | 7,656 | 7,585.20 | 8,897.06 | 9,387.01 | 9,903.94 | 10,449.34 | 11,024.77 |
EBITDA (%) | ||||||||||
EBIT | 8,113.30 | 7,044.20 | 7,615.40 | 7,317.10 | 7,212.60 | 8,554.52 | 9,025.61 | 9,522.64 | 10,047.04 | 10,600.32 |
EBIT (%) | ||||||||||
Depreciation | 243.50 | 239.80 | 319.60 | 338.90 | 372.60 | 342.54 | 361.40 | 381.30 | 402.30 | 424.46 |
Depreciation (%) |
Balance Sheet Data
Year A/P | 2018 Actual | 2019 Actual | 2020 Actual | 2021 Actual | 2022 Actual | 2023 Projected | 2024 Projected | 2025 Projected | 2026 Projected | 2027 Projected |
Total Cash | 8,231 | 15,990.10 | 8,712.70 | 7,379.80 | 10,857.90 | 11,695.59 | 12,339.65 | 13,019.18 | 13,736.14 | 14,492.57 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total Cash (%) | ||||||||||
Account Receivables | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Account Receivables (%) | ||||||||||
Inventories | 8,129.90 | 10,906.60 | 14,689.40 | 12,796 | 16,613.90 | 14,195.01 | 14,976.71 | 15,801.47 | 16,671.63 | 17,589.72 |
Inventories (%) | ||||||||||
Accounts Payable | 21,764.10 | 23,744.90 | 26,888.90 | 24,645.30 | 29,420.50 | 28,720.24 | 30,301.84 | 31,970.52 | 33,731.10 | 35,588.64 |
Accounts Payable (%) | ||||||||||
Capital Expenditure | -346.10 | -817.70 | -905 | -208.20 | -481.60 | -625.20 | -659.63 | -695.96 | -734.28 | -774.72 |
Capital Expenditure (%) |
Weighted Average Cost Of Capital
Share price | $ 845.1 |
---|---|
Beta | 0.464 |
Diluted Shares Outstanding | 330.98 |
Cost of Debt | |
Tax Rate | 27.71 |
After-tax Cost of Debt | 5.18% |
Risk-Free Rate | |
Market Risk Premium | |
Cost of Equity | 5.691 |
Total Debt | 3,608.30 |
Total Equity | 279,715.34 |
Total Capital | 283,323.64 |
Debt Weighting | 1.27 |
Equity Weighting | 98.73 |
Wacc |
Build Up Free Cash
Year A/P | 2018 Actual | 2019 Actual | 2020 Actual | 2021 Actual | 2022 Actual | 2023 Projected | 2024 Projected | 2025 Projected | 2026 Projected | 2027 Projected |
Revenue | 63,567.90 | 70,845.90 | 76,271.50 | 74,565.50 | 78,410.70 | 82,728.69 | 87,284.46 | 92,091.12 | 97,162.47 | 102,513.10 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
EBITDA | 8,356.80 | 7,284 | 7,935 | 7,656 | 7,585.20 | 8,897.06 | 9,387.01 | 9,903.94 | 10,449.34 | 11,024.77 |
EBIT | 8,113.30 | 7,044.20 | 7,615.40 | 7,317.10 | 7,212.60 | 8,554.52 | 9,025.61 | 9,522.64 | 10,047.04 | 10,600.32 |
Tax Rate | 28.89% | 25.02% | 30.52% | 25.95% | 27.71% | 27.62% | 27.62% | 27.62% | 27.62% | 27.62% |
EBIAT | 5,769.65 | 5,281.62 | 5,291.52 | 5,418 | 5,214.11 | 6,192 | 6,532.98 | 6,892.75 | 7,272.32 | 7,672.80 |
Depreciation | 243.50 | 239.80 | 319.60 | 338.90 | 372.60 | 342.54 | 361.40 | 381.30 | 402.30 | 424.46 |
Accounts Receivable | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Inventories | - | -2,776.70 | -3,782.80 | 1,893.40 | -3,817.90 | 2,418.89 | -781.70 | -824.75 | -870.17 | -918.09 |
Accounts Payable | - | 1,980.80 | 3,144 | -2,243.60 | 4,775.20 | -700.26 | 1,581.59 | 1,668.69 | 1,760.58 | 1,857.53 |
Capital Expenditure | -346.10 | -817.70 | -905 | -208.20 | -481.60 | -625.20 | -659.63 | -695.96 | -734.28 | -774.72 |
UFCF | 5,667.06 | 3,907.82 | 4,067.32 | 5,198.50 | 6,062.41 | 7,627.97 | 7,034.64 | 7,422.03 | 7,830.76 | 8,261.99 |
WACC | ||||||||||
PV UFCF | 7,217.99 | 6,298.78 | 6,288.46 | 6,278.16 | 6,267.88 | |||||
SUM PV UFCF | 32,351.27 |
Terminal Value
Growth in perpetuity method: | |
---|---|
Long-term growth rate | |
WACC (%) | 5.68 |
Free cash flow (t + 1) | 8,427.23 |
Terminal Value | 229,000.71 |
Present Value of Terminal Value | 173,729.19 |
Intrinsic Value
Enterprise Value | 206,080.46 |
---|---|
Net Debt | -1,980.70 |
Equity Value | 208,061.16 |
Shares Outstanding | 330.98 |
Equity Value Per Share | 628.61 |