Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis Unlevered
Vishay Intertechnology, Inc. (VSH)
$21.51
+0.51 (+2.43%)
All numbers are in Millions, Currency in USD
Operating Data
Year A/P | 2018 Actual | 2019 Actual | 2020 Actual | 2021 Actual | 2022 Actual | 2023 Projected | 2024 Projected | 2025 Projected | 2026 Projected | 2027 Projected |
Revenue | 3,034.69 | 2,668.30 | 2,501.90 | 3,240.49 | 3,497.40 | 3,664.75 | 3,840.11 | 4,023.85 | 4,216.39 | 4,418.14 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Revenue (%) | ||||||||||
EBITDA | 614.54 | 423.59 | 355.25 | 618.22 | 772.95 | 670.67 | 702.76 | 736.39 | 771.63 | 808.55 |
EBITDA (%) | ||||||||||
EBIT | 452.68 | 259.13 | 189.02 | 451.18 | 608.96 | 465.56 | 487.83 | 511.18 | 535.64 | 561.27 |
EBIT (%) | ||||||||||
Depreciation | 161.86 | 164.46 | 166.23 | 167.04 | 163.99 | 205.12 | 214.93 | 225.22 | 235.99 | 247.28 |
Depreciation (%) |
Balance Sheet Data
Year A/P | 2018 Actual | 2019 Actual | 2020 Actual | 2021 Actual | 2022 Actual | 2023 Projected | 2024 Projected | 2025 Projected | 2026 Projected | 2027 Projected |
Total Cash | 764.32 | 802.96 | 778.35 | 920.85 | 916.10 | 1,033.46 | 1,082.91 | 1,134.72 | 1,189.02 | 1,245.91 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total Cash (%) | ||||||||||
Account Receivables | 397.02 | 328.19 | 338.63 | 396.46 | 416.18 | 462.13 | 484.25 | 507.42 | 531.70 | 557.14 |
Account Receivables (%) | ||||||||||
Inventories | 479.66 | 431.68 | 448.25 | 536.50 | 618.88 | 616.79 | 646.30 | 677.23 | 709.64 | 743.59 |
Inventories (%) | ||||||||||
Accounts Payable | 218.32 | 173.91 | 196.20 | 254.05 | 189.10 | 255.07 | 267.28 | 280.07 | 293.47 | 307.51 |
Accounts Payable (%) | ||||||||||
Capital Expenditure | -229.90 | -156.64 | -123.60 | -218.37 | -325.31 | -252.33 | -264.40 | -277.06 | -290.31 | -304.20 |
Capital Expenditure (%) |
Weighted Average Cost Of Capital
Share price | $ 21.51 |
---|---|
Beta | 1.301 |
Diluted Shares Outstanding | 143.91 |
Cost of Debt | |
Tax Rate | 27.75 |
After-tax Cost of Debt | 1.95% |
Risk-Free Rate | |
Market Risk Premium | |
Cost of Equity | 9.623 |
Total Debt | 634.75 |
Total Equity | 3,095.61 |
Total Capital | 3,730.36 |
Debt Weighting | 17.02 |
Equity Weighting | 82.98 |
Wacc |
Build Up Free Cash
Year A/P | 2018 Actual | 2019 Actual | 2020 Actual | 2021 Actual | 2022 Actual | 2023 Projected | 2024 Projected | 2025 Projected | 2026 Projected | 2027 Projected |
Revenue | 3,034.69 | 2,668.30 | 2,501.90 | 3,240.49 | 3,497.40 | 3,664.75 | 3,840.11 | 4,023.85 | 4,216.39 | 4,418.14 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
EBITDA | 614.54 | 423.59 | 355.25 | 618.22 | 772.95 | 670.67 | 702.76 | 736.39 | 771.63 | 808.55 |
EBIT | 452.68 | 259.13 | 189.02 | 451.18 | 608.96 | 465.56 | 487.83 | 511.18 | 535.64 | 561.27 |
Tax Rate | 17.04% | 27.56% | 22.36% | 31.44% | 27.75% | 25.23% | 25.23% | 25.23% | 25.23% | 25.23% |
EBIAT | 375.54 | 187.72 | 146.75 | 309.33 | 439.98 | 348.10 | 364.76 | 382.21 | 400.50 | 419.66 |
Depreciation | 161.86 | 164.46 | 166.23 | 167.04 | 163.99 | 205.12 | 214.93 | 225.22 | 235.99 | 247.28 |
Accounts Receivable | - | 68.83 | -10.44 | -57.83 | -19.72 | -45.96 | -22.11 | -23.17 | -24.28 | -25.44 |
Inventories | - | 47.98 | -16.57 | -88.25 | -82.38 | 2.09 | -29.51 | -30.93 | -32.41 | -33.96 |
Accounts Payable | - | -44.41 | 22.29 | 57.85 | -64.95 | 65.97 | 12.21 | 12.79 | 13.40 | 14.04 |
Capital Expenditure | -229.90 | -156.64 | -123.60 | -218.37 | -325.31 | -252.33 | -264.40 | -277.06 | -290.31 | -304.20 |
UFCF | 307.51 | 267.94 | 184.66 | 169.77 | 111.61 | 322.99 | 275.86 | 289.06 | 302.89 | 317.39 |
WACC | ||||||||||
PV UFCF | 298.18 | 235.11 | 227.44 | 220.02 | 212.84 | |||||
SUM PV UFCF | 1,193.58 |
Terminal Value
Growth in perpetuity method: | |
---|---|
Long-term growth rate | |
WACC (%) | 8.32 |
Free cash flow (t + 1) | 323.73 |
Terminal Value | 5,122.37 |
Present Value of Terminal Value | 3,435.01 |
Intrinsic Value
Enterprise Value | 4,628.59 |
---|---|
Net Debt | 23.92 |
Equity Value | 4,604.66 |
Shares Outstanding | 143.91 |
Equity Value Per Share | 32.00 |