Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis Unlevered
WSP Global Inc. (WSP.TO)
$168.23
-4.66 (-2.70%)
All numbers are in Millions, Currency in USD
Operating Data
Year A/P | 2018 Actual | 2019 Actual | 2020 Actual | 2021 Actual | 2022 Actual | 2023 Projected | 2024 Projected | 2025 Projected | 2026 Projected | 2027 Projected |
Revenue | 7,908.10 | 8,916.10 | 8,803.90 | 10,279.10 | 11,932.90 | 13,255.46 | 14,724.60 | 16,356.57 | 18,169.42 | 20,183.19 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Revenue (%) | ||||||||||
EBITDA | 579.20 | 967.20 | 954.70 | 1,243.70 | 1,280.50 | 1,374.49 | 1,526.83 | 1,696.05 | 1,884.03 | 2,092.84 |
EBITDA (%) | ||||||||||
EBIT | 384.80 | 513.80 | 478.40 | 725.20 | 704 | 769.27 | 854.53 | 949.24 | 1,054.45 | 1,171.32 |
EBIT (%) | ||||||||||
Depreciation | 194.40 | 453.40 | 476.30 | 518.50 | 576.50 | 605.22 | 672.29 | 746.81 | 829.58 | 921.52 |
Depreciation (%) |
Balance Sheet Data
Year A/P | 2018 Actual | 2019 Actual | 2020 Actual | 2021 Actual | 2022 Actual | 2023 Projected | 2024 Projected | 2025 Projected | 2026 Projected | 2027 Projected |
Total Cash | 254.70 | 370.10 | 555.20 | 1,069.10 | 603.80 | 772.49 | 858.11 | 953.22 | 1,058.86 | 1,176.22 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total Cash (%) | ||||||||||
Account Receivables | 2,671 | 2,544 | 2,262 | 2,772 | 4,258.20 | 3,993.95 | 4,436.62 | 4,928.34 | 5,474.56 | 6,081.32 |
Account Receivables (%) | ||||||||||
Inventories | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Inventories (%) | ||||||||||
Accounts Payable | 737.70 | 608.40 | 509.10 | 765.70 | 1,038.80 | 1,009.78 | 1,121.69 | 1,246.02 | 1,384.11 | 1,537.52 |
Accounts Payable (%) | ||||||||||
Capital Expenditure | -126.80 | -149 | -93.10 | -121.20 | -166.50 | -183.10 | -203.39 | -225.93 | -250.97 | -278.79 |
Capital Expenditure (%) |
Weighted Average Cost Of Capital
Share price | $ 168.23 |
---|---|
Beta | 0.928 |
Diluted Shares Outstanding | 116.90 |
Cost of Debt | |
Tax Rate | 26.50 |
After-tax Cost of Debt | 2.15% |
Risk-Free Rate | |
Market Risk Premium | |
Cost of Equity | 8.016 |
Total Debt | 4,084.30 |
Total Equity | 19,666.37 |
Total Capital | 23,750.67 |
Debt Weighting | 17.20 |
Equity Weighting | 82.80 |
Wacc |
Build Up Free Cash
Year A/P | 2018 Actual | 2019 Actual | 2020 Actual | 2021 Actual | 2022 Actual | 2023 Projected | 2024 Projected | 2025 Projected | 2026 Projected | 2027 Projected |
Revenue | 7,908.10 | 8,916.10 | 8,803.90 | 10,279.10 | 11,932.90 | 13,255.46 | 14,724.60 | 16,356.57 | 18,169.42 | 20,183.19 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
EBITDA | 579.20 | 967.20 | 954.70 | 1,243.70 | 1,280.50 | 1,374.49 | 1,526.83 | 1,696.05 | 1,884.03 | 2,092.84 |
EBIT | 384.80 | 513.80 | 478.40 | 725.20 | 704 | 769.27 | 854.53 | 949.24 | 1,054.45 | 1,171.32 |
Tax Rate | 24.66% | 25.74% | 28.48% | 26.59% | 26.50% | 26.39% | 26.39% | 26.39% | 26.39% | 26.39% |
EBIAT | 289.91 | 381.55 | 342.16 | 532.41 | 517.43 | 566.24 | 629 | 698.71 | 776.15 | 862.18 |
Depreciation | 194.40 | 453.40 | 476.30 | 518.50 | 576.50 | 605.22 | 672.29 | 746.81 | 829.58 | 921.52 |
Accounts Receivable | - | 127 | 282 | -510 | -1,486.20 | 264.25 | -442.66 | -491.72 | -546.22 | -606.76 |
Inventories | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Accounts Payable | - | -129.30 | -99.30 | 256.60 | 273.10 | -29.02 | 111.92 | 124.32 | 138.10 | 153.41 |
Capital Expenditure | -126.80 | -149 | -93.10 | -121.20 | -166.50 | -183.10 | -203.39 | -225.93 | -250.97 | -278.79 |
UFCF | 357.51 | 683.65 | 908.06 | 676.31 | -285.67 | 1,223.58 | 767.16 | 852.19 | 946.64 | 1,051.55 |
WACC | ||||||||||
PV UFCF | 1,143.43 | 669.94 | 695.44 | 721.91 | 749.39 | |||||
SUM PV UFCF | 3,980.12 |
Terminal Value
Growth in perpetuity method: | |
---|---|
Long-term growth rate | |
WACC (%) | 7.01 |
Free cash flow (t + 1) | 1,072.59 |
Terminal Value | 21,408.89 |
Present Value of Terminal Value | 15,257.11 |
Intrinsic Value
Enterprise Value | 19,237.23 |
---|---|
Net Debt | 3,588.70 |
Equity Value | 15,648.53 |
Shares Outstanding | 116.90 |
Equity Value Per Share | 133.86 |