Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis Unlevered
cbdMD, Inc. (YCBD)
$1.94
+0.05 (+2.65%)
All numbers are in Millions, Currency in USD
Operating Data
Year A/P | 2018 Actual | 2019 Actual | 2020 Actual | 2021 Actual | 2022 Actual | 2023 Projected | 2024 Projected | 2025 Projected | 2026 Projected | 2027 Projected |
Revenue | 8.42 | 23.65 | 41.88 | 44.48 | 35.40 | 56.98 | 91.70 | 147.59 | 237.54 | 382.30 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Revenue (%) | ||||||||||
EBITDA | -0.20 | -52.50 | 11.98 | -22.04 | -70.06 | -50.51 | -81.29 | -130.84 | -210.57 | -338.90 |
EBITDA (%) | ||||||||||
EBIT | -0.43 | -52.79 | 11.26 | -24.29 | -72.99 | -52.67 | -84.77 | -136.42 | -219.56 | -353.37 |
EBIT (%) | ||||||||||
Depreciation | 0.22 | 0.29 | 0.72 | 2.25 | 2.93 | 2.16 | 3.47 | 5.59 | 8.99 | 14.47 |
Depreciation (%) |
Balance Sheet Data
Year A/P | 2018 Actual | 2019 Actual | 2020 Actual | 2021 Actual | 2022 Actual | 2023 Projected | 2024 Projected | 2025 Projected | 2026 Projected | 2027 Projected |
Total Cash | 6.49 | 5.49 | 15.10 | 27.44 | 1 | 22.89 | 36.85 | 59.30 | 95.44 | 153.60 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total Cash (%) | ||||||||||
Account Receivables | 4.20 | 2.67 | 1.36 | 1.12 | 1.45 | 8.10 | 13.03 | 20.98 | 33.76 | 54.34 |
Account Receivables (%) | ||||||||||
Inventories | 0.12 | 4.30 | 4.60 | 5.02 | 4.26 | 6.15 | 9.90 | 15.93 | 25.63 | 41.25 |
Inventories (%) | ||||||||||
Accounts Payable | 0.48 | 3.02 | 2.85 | 2.98 | 2.04 | 4.30 | 6.92 | 11.14 | 17.93 | 28.86 |
Accounts Payable (%) | ||||||||||
Capital Expenditure | -0.38 | -1.25 | -1.32 | -2.34 | -0.69 | -2.30 | -3.70 | -5.96 | -9.59 | -15.44 |
Capital Expenditure (%) |
Weighted Average Cost Of Capital
Share price | $ 1.94 |
---|---|
Beta | 2.241 |
Diluted Shares Outstanding | 1.33 |
Cost of Debt | |
Tax Rate | -5.71 |
After-tax Cost of Debt | 5.00% |
Risk-Free Rate | |
Market Risk Premium | |
Cost of Equity | 14.270 |
Total Debt | - |
Total Equity | 2.58 |
Total Capital | 2.58 |
Debt Weighting | 0.00 |
Equity Weighting | 100.00 |
Wacc |
Build Up Free Cash
Year A/P | 2018 Actual | 2019 Actual | 2020 Actual | 2021 Actual | 2022 Actual | 2023 Projected | 2024 Projected | 2025 Projected | 2026 Projected | 2027 Projected |
Revenue | 8.42 | 23.65 | 41.88 | 44.48 | 35.40 | 56.98 | 91.70 | 147.59 | 237.54 | 382.30 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
EBITDA | -0.20 | -52.50 | 11.98 | -22.04 | -70.06 | -50.51 | -81.29 | -130.84 | -210.57 | -338.90 |
EBIT | -0.43 | -52.79 | 11.26 | -24.29 | -72.99 | -52.67 | -84.77 | -136.42 | -219.56 | -353.37 |
Tax Rate | 979.86% | -5.52% | -11.47% | 3.68% | -5.71% | 192.17% | 192.17% | 192.17% | 192.17% | 192.17% |
EBIAT | 3.76 | -55.70 | 12.55 | -23.39 | -77.16 | 48.54 | 78.13 | 125.74 | 202.37 | 325.70 |
Depreciation | 0.22 | 0.29 | 0.72 | 2.25 | 2.93 | 2.16 | 3.47 | 5.59 | 8.99 | 14.47 |
Accounts Receivable | - | 1.54 | 1.31 | 0.23 | -0.32 | -6.65 | -4.94 | -7.94 | -12.78 | -20.58 |
Inventories | - | -4.18 | -0.30 | -0.42 | 0.77 | -1.89 | -3.75 | -6.03 | -9.71 | -15.62 |
Accounts Payable | - | 2.54 | -0.17 | 0.13 | -0.94 | 2.27 | 2.62 | 4.22 | 6.79 | 10.93 |
Capital Expenditure | -0.38 | -1.25 | -1.32 | -2.34 | -0.69 | -2.30 | -3.70 | -5.96 | -9.59 | -15.44 |
UFCF | 3.60 | -56.76 | 12.78 | -23.54 | -75.42 | 42.12 | 71.83 | 115.61 | 186.07 | 299.47 |
WACC | ||||||||||
PV UFCF | 36.86 | 55.01 | 77.48 | 109.13 | 153.70 | |||||
SUM PV UFCF | 432.19 |
Terminal Value
Growth in perpetuity method: | |
---|---|
Long-term growth rate | |
WACC (%) | 14.27 |
Free cash flow (t + 1) | 305.46 |
Terminal Value | 2,489.45 |
Present Value of Terminal Value | 1,277.74 |
Intrinsic Value
Enterprise Value | 1,709.93 |
---|---|
Net Debt | - |
Equity Value | 1,709.93 |
Shares Outstanding | 1.33 |
Equity Value Per Share | 1,287.81 |