Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis Levered

Iris Energy Limited (IREN)

$3.32

+0.30 (+9.93%)
All numbers are in Millions, Currency in USD
Stock DCF: -212,129.27 | 3.32 | overvalue

Free Cash Flow

Year
A/P
2020
Actual
2021
Actual
2022
Actual
2023
Projected
2024
Projected
2025
Projected
2026
Projected
2027
Projected
Revenue 2.177.8459.04328.761,830.8010,195.2756,774.97316,165.92
Revenue (%)
Operating Cash Flow -0.99-3.56-26.80-149.26-831.19-4,628.67-25,775.94-143,539.91
Operating Cash Flow (%)
Capital Expenditure -4.07-81.22-294.25-1,887.20-10,509.34-58,523.92-325,905.40-1,814,887.51
Capital Expenditure (%)
Free Cash Flow -5.06-84.78-321.05-2,036.46-11,340.52-63,152.59-351,681.34-1,958,427.42

Weighted Average Cost Of Capital

Share price $ 3.32
Beta 0.000
Diluted Shares Outstanding 40.94
Cost of Debt
Tax Rate -0.65
After-tax Cost of Debt 29.73%
Risk-Free Rate
Market Risk Premium
Cost of Equity 3.606
Total Debt 108.29
Total Equity 135.92
Total Capital 244.21
Debt Weighting 44.34
Equity Weighting 55.66
Wacc

Build Up Free Cash Flow

Year
A/P
2020
Actual
2021
Actual
2022
Actual
2023
Projected
2024
Projected
2025
Projected
2026
Projected
2027
Projected
Revenue 2.177.8459.04328.761,830.8010,195.2756,774.97316,165.92
Operating Cash Flow -0.99-3.56-26.80-149.26-831.19-4,628.67-25,775.94-143,539.91
Capital Expenditure -4.07-81.22-294.25-1,887.20-10,509.34-58,523.92-325,905.40-1,814,887.51
Free Cash Flow -5.06-84.78-321.05-2,036.46-11,340.52-63,152.59-351,681.34-1,958,427.42
WACC
PV LFCF -1,767.91-8,546.80-41,318.72-199,751.58-965,680.78
SUM PV LFCF -1,217,065.79

Terminal Value

Growth in perpetuity method:
Long-term growth rate
WACC (%) 15.19
Free cash flow (t + 1) -1,997,595.97
Terminal Value -15,144,776.11
Present Value of Terminal Value -7,467,736.17

Intrinsic Value

Enterprise Value -8,684,801.95
Net Debt -1.68
Equity Value -8,684,800.27
Shares Outstanding 40.94
Equity Value Per Share -212,129.27