Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis Levered
Lumentum Holdings Inc. (LITE)
$51.575
+0.33 (+0.63%)
All numbers are in Millions, Currency in USD
Free Cash Flow
Year A/P | 2018 Actual | 2019 Actual | 2020 Actual | 2021 Actual | 2022 Actual | 2023 Projected | 2024 Projected | 2025 Projected | 2026 Projected | 2027 Projected |
Revenue | 1,247.70 | 1,565.30 | 1,678.60 | 1,742.80 | 1,712.60 | 1,861.53 | 2,023.41 | 2,199.37 | 2,390.64 | 2,598.53 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Revenue (%) | ||||||||||
Operating Cash Flow | 247.50 | 330.10 | 524.30 | 738.70 | 459.30 | 526.31 | 572.08 | 621.83 | 675.90 | 734.68 |
Operating Cash Flow (%) | ||||||||||
Capital Expenditure | -93.20 | -166 | -86 | -84.80 | -91.20 | -124.31 | -135.12 | -146.87 | -159.64 | -173.52 |
Capital Expenditure (%) | ||||||||||
Free Cash Flow | 154.30 | 164.10 | 438.30 | 653.90 | 368.10 | 402 | 436.96 | 474.96 | 516.26 | 561.15 |
Weighted Average Cost Of Capital
Share price | $ 51.575 |
---|---|
Beta | 1.099 |
Diluted Shares Outstanding | 74.20 |
Cost of Debt | |
Tax Rate | 15.40 |
After-tax Cost of Debt | 3.50% |
Risk-Free Rate | |
Market Risk Premium | |
Cost of Equity | 8.749 |
Total Debt | 1,936 |
Total Equity | 3,826.86 |
Total Capital | 5,762.86 |
Debt Weighting | 33.59 |
Equity Weighting | 66.41 |
Wacc |
Build Up Free Cash Flow
Year A/P | 2018 Actual | 2019 Actual | 2020 Actual | 2021 Actual | 2022 Actual | 2023 Projected | 2024 Projected | 2025 Projected | 2026 Projected | 2027 Projected |
Revenue | 1,247.70 | 1,565.30 | 1,678.60 | 1,742.80 | 1,712.60 | 1,861.53 | 2,023.41 | 2,199.37 | 2,390.64 | 2,598.53 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Operating Cash Flow | 247.50 | 330.10 | 524.30 | 738.70 | 459.30 | 526.31 | 572.08 | 621.83 | 675.90 | 734.68 |
Capital Expenditure | -93.20 | -166 | -86 | -84.80 | -91.20 | -124.31 | -135.12 | -146.87 | -159.64 | -173.52 |
Free Cash Flow | 154.30 | 164.10 | 438.30 | 653.90 | 368.10 | 402 | 436.96 | 474.96 | 516.26 | 561.15 |
WACC | ||||||||||
PV LFCF | 375.73 | 381.73 | 387.81 | 394 | 400.28 | |||||
SUM PV LFCF | 1,939.55 |
Terminal Value
Growth in perpetuity method: | |
---|---|
Long-term growth rate | |
WACC (%) | 6.99 |
Free cash flow (t + 1) | 572.38 |
Terminal Value | 11,470.47 |
Present Value of Terminal Value | 8,182.11 |
Intrinsic Value
Enterprise Value | 10,121.67 |
---|---|
Net Debt | 645.80 |
Equity Value | 9,475.87 |
Shares Outstanding | 74.20 |
Equity Value Per Share | 127.71 |