Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis Levered

The Stephan Co. (SPCO)

$1.75

-0.15 (-7.89%)
All numbers are in Millions, Currency in USD
Stock DCF: -3.92 | 1.75 | overvalue

Free Cash Flow

Year
A/P
2013
Actual
2014
Actual
2015
Actual
2016
Projected
2017
Projected
2018
Projected
2019
Projected
2020
Projected
Revenue 12.848.848.016.395.094.063.242.58
Revenue (%)
Operating Cash Flow -1.42-1.76-2.11-1.22-0.97-0.78-0.62-0.49
Operating Cash Flow (%)
Capital Expenditure -0.20-0.10-0.13-0.09-0.07-0.06-0.05-0.04
Capital Expenditure (%)
Free Cash Flow -1.61-1.86-2.24-1.31-1.05-0.83-0.67-0.53

Weighted Average Cost Of Capital

Share price $ 1.75
Beta 0.363
Diluted Shares Outstanding 4.05
Cost of Debt
Tax Rate 50.16
After-tax Cost of Debt 2.49%
Risk-Free Rate
Market Risk Premium
Cost of Equity 5.212
Total Debt -
Total Equity 7.09
Total Capital 7.09
Debt Weighting 0.00
Equity Weighting 100.00
Wacc

Build Up Free Cash Flow

Year
A/P
2013
Actual
2014
Actual
2015
Actual
2016
Projected
2017
Projected
2018
Projected
2019
Projected
2020
Projected
Revenue 12.848.848.016.395.094.063.242.58
Operating Cash Flow -1.42-1.76-2.11-1.22-0.97-0.78-0.62-0.49
Capital Expenditure -0.20-0.10-0.13-0.09-0.07-0.06-0.05-0.04
Free Cash Flow -1.61-1.86-2.24-1.31-1.05-0.83-0.67-0.53
WACC
PV LFCF -1.38-1.05-0.79-0.60-0.46
SUM PV LFCF -3.86

Terminal Value

Growth in perpetuity method:
Long-term growth rate
WACC (%) 5.21
Free cash flow (t + 1) -0.54
Terminal Value -16.86
Present Value of Terminal Value -13.08

Intrinsic Value

Enterprise Value -16.94
Net Debt -1.09
Equity Value -15.85
Shares Outstanding 4.05
Equity Value Per Share -3.92