Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis Levered

Surface Oncology, Inc. (SURF)

$0.8

-0.02 (-2.45%)
All numbers are in Millions, Currency in USD
Stock DCF: -15,238.47 | 0.8 | overvalue

Free Cash Flow

Year
A/P
2018
Actual
2019
Actual
2020
Actual
2021
Actual
2022
Actual
2023
Projected
2024
Projected
2025
Projected
2026
Projected
2027
Projected
Revenue 59.4215.36126.162.6930147.44724.593,561.0917,501.2686,011.49
Revenue (%)
Operating Cash Flow -13.22-60.1430-3.49-39-191.68-942-4,629.56-22,752.39-111,818.61
Operating Cash Flow (%)
Capital Expenditure -2.02-1.54-0.04-0.12-0-5.28-25.96-127.57-626.93-3,081.12
Capital Expenditure (%)
Free Cash Flow -15.24-61.6829.95-3.61-39-196.96-967.96-4,757.13-23,379.32-114,899.72

Weighted Average Cost Of Capital

Share price $ 0.8
Beta 1.683
Diluted Shares Outstanding 55.76
Cost of Debt
Tax Rate 0.00
After-tax Cost of Debt 10.33%
Risk-Free Rate
Market Risk Premium
Cost of Equity 11.614
Total Debt 30.45
Total Equity 44.61
Total Capital 75.06
Debt Weighting 40.57
Equity Weighting 59.43
Wacc

Build Up Free Cash Flow

Year
A/P
2018
Actual
2019
Actual
2020
Actual
2021
Actual
2022
Actual
2023
Projected
2024
Projected
2025
Projected
2026
Projected
2027
Projected
Revenue 59.4215.36126.162.6930147.44724.593,561.0917,501.2686,011.49
Operating Cash Flow -13.22-60.1430-3.49-39-191.68-942-4,629.56-22,752.39-111,818.61
Capital Expenditure -2.02-1.54-0.04-0.12-0-5.28-25.96-127.57-626.93-3,081.12
Free Cash Flow -15.24-61.6829.95-3.61-39-196.96-967.96-4,757.13-23,379.32-114,899.72
WACC
PV LFCF -143.66-635.56-2,811.71-12,438.90-55,029.33
SUM PV LFCF -87,694.03

Terminal Value

Growth in perpetuity method:
Long-term growth rate
WACC (%) 11.09
Free cash flow (t + 1) -117,197.72
Terminal Value -1,289,303.81
Present Value of Terminal Value -762,044.68

Intrinsic Value

Enterprise Value -849,738.71
Net Debt -20.46
Equity Value -849,718.25
Shares Outstanding 55.76
Equity Value Per Share -15,238.47