Affirm (AFRM) Stock Soars on Strong Q4 & Bullish 2027 Outlook
Affirm Holdings (NASDAQ: AFRM) Stock Rises on Strong Q4 Growth and Fiscal 2027 Outlook
- Strong Growth: Affirm Holdings (NASDAQ: AFRM) reported fiscal Q4 revenue of $1.166 billion, representing 33% year-over-year growth.
- Higher Transaction Volume: Gross merchandise volume increased 36% to $14.1 billion, while revenue less transaction costs rose 39% to $589 million.
- Bullish Outlook: Affirm expects fiscal 2027 GMV to exceed $64 billion, while several analysts raised their price targets following the results.
Affirm Holdings (NASDAQ: AFRM) is a financial-technology company that provides buy now, pay later services. Its platform enables consumers to divide purchases into installments, while Affirm earns revenue through merchant fees and interest-bearing loans.
On August 28, 2026, Cantor Fitzgerald reaffirmed its Overweight rating and $88 price target for Affirm. The firm had originally raised the target to $88 from $80 on July 22, ahead of the company's fiscal fourth-quarter report.
Affirm reported GAAP diluted EPS of $4.62 for its fiscal fourth quarter. However, this figure was boosted substantially by the release of a tax valuation allowance, which generated a one-time tax benefit of approximately $1.45 billion.
Affirm's underlying operating results were nevertheless strong. Revenue increased 33% year over year to $1.166 billion, exceeding the consensus estimate of approximately $1.11 billion. GAAP operating margin improved by approximately six percentage points to 12.6%, while adjusted operating income reached approximately $353 million.
Gross merchandise volume, representing the total value of transactions processed through Affirm's platform, increased 36% to approximately $14.1 billion. Full-year fiscal 2026 GMV reached $50.2 billion, representing growth of approximately 37%.
Revenue less transaction costs, an important measure of Affirm's transaction economics after funding costs and credit provisions, increased 39% to $589 million. Its RLTC margin reached 4.2% of GMV, remaining above the company's medium-term target range.
Affirm's active consumer base increased 21% to 27.8 million, while transactions per active consumer rose 20% to 7.0. Affirm Card GMV more than doubled to approximately $2.8 billion, providing another important source of growth.
For fiscal 2027, Affirm expects GMV to exceed $64 billion, compared with approximately $50.2 billion in fiscal 2026. This implies growth of at least 28%. For the first quarter, the company forecasts GMV of $13.7-$14.0 billion and revenue of $1.19-$1.22 billion.
Affirm shares initially rose approximately 9% in after-hours trading and advanced around 12% during the following session as investors responded to its strong operating performance and outlook.
Several analysts raised their targets after the report. Bank of America increased its price target to $104 from $93 while maintaining a Buy rating. Needham raised its target to $100 from $90, also maintaining a Buy rating.
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Tony Dante writes market news and earnings coverage for the FMP blog, reporting on quarterly results, analyst rating changes, and company developments. His posts turn timely market events into concise, data-backed analysis for readers tracking individual names and sectors.
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