FMP
Feb 24, 2025 8:36 AM - Parth Sanghvi
Image credit: Aleksi Räisä
Bitcoin (BTC) is once again at the center of attention as it trades around $96,000, not far from its January 2025 all-time high of $108,824. Given Bitcoin's historical spring and summer price trends, many analysts believe a new record high could be within reach.
Historically, Bitcoin has exhibited strong price performance from March to July:
📈 March: +11.8% average returns
📈 April: +34.7% (one of BTC's strongest months)
📈 May: +20%
📈 June: +7.91%
📈 July: +8.26%
While median returns are more conservative at 4.67% over the next five months, the historical bullish seasonality cannot be ignored.
🔹 Institutional Demand & ETFs - The launch of U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs in early 2024 has unlocked billions in institutional capital, increasing BTC's legitimacy as a macro asset.
🔹 Pre-Halving Momentum - Bitcoin's next halving in April 2024 will cut mining rewards from 6.25 BTC to 3.125 BTC, historically leading to price surges in the months following.
🔹 Macroeconomic Tailwinds - With U.S. inflation concerns, investors are increasingly turning to BTC as a hedge against monetary instability.
For BTC to break $108,824, it would need to rally at least 13% from current levels. Given its historical spring performance, this target seems well within reach—provided market conditions remain favorable.
🚀 Track Bitcoin's real-time market movements using FMP's Crypto Currency Free API.
⚠️ Regulatory Uncertainty - The U.S. SEC continues to scrutinize crypto exchanges and ETFs, which could impact investor sentiment.
⚠️ Macroeconomic Factors - A stronger U.S. dollar or higher interest rates could put pressure on Bitcoin's price.
⚠️ Profit-Taking & Volatility - Bitcoin remains highly volatile, and large players could take profits near psychological resistance levels ($100K, $108K).
Bitcoin's price action suggests it could soon challenge its all-time high, but traders should remain cautious of potential market pullbacks. If BTC follows its historical seasonal trends, the next few months could be pivotal.
🔍 Stay ahead of the market with real-time crypto data using FMP's APIs.
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