FMP
Dec 01, 2025
Carvana Co. (NYSE:CVNA) is a prominent player in the online used car retail market. Known for its innovative car vending machines and seamless online purchasing experience, Carvana has carved a niche in the automotive industry. It competes with traditional used car retailers like CarMax, striving to capture a larger market share through its digital-first approach.
On December 1, 2025, UBS initiated coverage on Carvana with a "Buy" rating, setting the stock price at $374.31. This endorsement aligns with recent positive sentiment from Wedbush analysts, who upgraded Carvana to an "Outperform" rating. They increased the 12-month price target from $380 to $400, indicating a potential upside of nearly 30% from the current price.
Carvana's stock has seen a notable rise, gaining over 7% following the Wedbush upgrade. Despite a recent 13% decline, attributed to broader credit concerns and weaker performance from CarMax, analysts view this as a strategic buying opportunity. They highlight Carvana's competitive momentum and attractive risk/reward scenario, with the stock trading at about 22 times its 2027 earnings estimate.
Wedbush analysts emphasize Carvana's robust used-unit flow and key profit lines, projecting fourth-quarter revenue to reach $5.2 billion and full-year 2025 revenue at $19.9 billion. They anticipate Carvana surpassing CarMax in used-unit volume by the fourth quarter of 2026, with a long-term vision of scaling to 3 million annual retail units by 2033.
Carvana's market capitalization is approximately $81.15 billion, with shares fluctuating between $357.50 and $375.77 today. The stock has increased by over 50% year-to-date, driven by stable unit trends and improving profitability. Despite industry challenges, Carvana's strategic positioning and growth potential make it an attractive investment opportunity.
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