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FMP

Early 2025 Pullback Expected, but Long-Term Rally Remains Optimistic: Yardeni

Renowned market strategist Ed Yardeni predicts a mixed start to 2025 for global markets, emphasizing an early pullback followed by a potential long-term rally. This outlook reflects a nuanced view of economic and market dynamics, shaped by various macroeconomic factors.


Highlights of Yardeni's Analysis

  1. Early 2025 Pullback:

    • A correction phase is anticipated in early 2025 as markets absorb interest rate hikes, tightening liquidity, and elevated valuations.
    • Yardeni attributes this pullback to investor sentiment adjusting to slower economic growth and inflationary pressures.
  2. Optimism for Long-Term Rally:

    • Despite a short-term dip, Yardeni forecasts a robust recovery fueled by structural growth trends, particularly in technology and infrastructure investments.
    • A shift toward easing monetary policies by central banks is expected to provide a boost to equities in the latter half of 2025.
  3. Sector Outlook:

    • Defensive sectors may outperform during the pullback phase.
    • Growth-oriented sectors like tech and renewable energy are poised to lead the long-term rally.

Supporting Your Analysis

For tracking market trends and Yardeni's projections:


Conclusion

Yardeni's insights emphasize a cautious approach for early 2025, with an eye on strategic opportunities during the expected rally. Investors should prepare for short-term volatility but remain focused on long-term growth potential in transformative sectors.