PepsiCo Stock Analysis: Goldman Sachs Lowers Price Target Amid North American Challenges

  • Goldman Sachs has reduced its price target for PepsiCo (NASDAQ: PEP) to $165.00 from $180.00, citing a slower recovery in its North American business.
  • Despite a 5.6% rise in third-quarter revenue and 3.1% growth in organic sales, North American foods remain a weak spot, pressuring profit margins.
  • PepsiCo is responding by aggressively reviewing expenses and planning price increases, even as its stock rose after reporting better-than-expected earnings.

The stock symbol for PepsiCo (NASDAQ: PEP) represents a global leader in drinks and snack foods, with iconic brands like Pepsi, Gatorade, Lay’s, and Doritos. The company faces stiff competition from Coca-Cola in beverages and various food makers in the snack sector. Recently, Goldman Sachs analyst Bonnie Herzog adjusted her price target for PepsiCo stock, cutting it to $165.00 from $180.00.

At $128.34 when the new target was announced, PepsiCo shares traded approximately 28.6% below the new $165.00 target. It's important to remember that a price target is an analyst’s estimate of potential future trading levels, not a guaranteed return. This downward revision reflects PepsiCo's challenges with a slower recovery in its North American business segment.

For the third quarter, PepsiCo reported a revenue growth of 5.6%, with organic sales increasing by 3.1%, as highlighted by GuruFocus. Organic sales provide a clearer picture of growth by excluding the impact of currency fluctuations and business acquisitions or divestitures. Core operating profit saw a 3% increase, and organic sales in Europe, the Middle East, and Africa demonstrated strong growth at 9%. However, North American foods continued to be a weak spot for the company.

Efforts to lower costs and introduce new products have not yielded the anticipated boost in North America, where consumer caution and evolving eating habits persist. CEO Ramon Laguarta indicated that PepsiCo plans a more aggressive review of expenses over the next 12 to 18 months. The company also revised its full-year earnings forecast downwards.

Despite these challenges, PepsiCo's stock rose $4.61, or 3.73%, to $128.34 after reporting earnings that surpassed expectations, as noted by Schwab Network. Nevertheless, elevated costs in North America continue to exert pressure on profit margins—the portion of sales remaining after expenses. PepsiCo intends to implement price increases on some products, following earlier price reductions on major brands, according to Bloomberg’s Stock Movers report.

About the Author
Stuart Mooney

Market news and analyst rating coverage

Stuart Mooney covers market news and analyst activity for the FMP blog, including price-target revisions, upgrades and downgrades, and company developments. The focus is on clear, factual summaries of market-moving events grounded in financial data.

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