FMP

FMP

Simon Property Group (NYSE: SPG) Earnings Preview: Key Insights

  • Earnings per Share (EPS) is expected to be $3.47, indicating a 5.71% decline in funds from operations (FFO) per share year-over-year.
  • Revenue is projected to increase by 2.8% to approximately $1.51 billion, driven by higher base minimum rent and strong occupancy levels.
  • The company has exceeded the Zacks Consensus Estimate for FFO per share over the past four quarters, showcasing its consistent performance.

Simon Property Group (NYSE: SPG) is a leading real estate investment trust (REIT) that specializes in owning and managing premier shopping, dining, entertainment, and mixed-use destinations. As a major player in the retail real estate sector, SPG competes with other REITs like Brookfield Property Partners and Unibail-Rodamco-Westfield. The company is set to release its fourth-quarter 2025 earnings on February 2, 2026.

Analysts expect SPG to report earnings per share (EPS) of $3.47, marking a 5.71% decline in funds from operations (FFO) per share compared to the same quarter last year. Despite this anticipated drop, the company's revenue is projected to rise by 2.8% to approximately $1.51 billion. This increase in revenue is attributed to higher base minimum rent per square foot and strong occupancy levels, which exceeded 96% in the previous quarter.

In the third quarter, SPG reported a 4.21% surprise in FFO per share, driven by increased revenues and strong leasing and traffic gains. The company consistently exceeded the Zacks Consensus Estimate for FFO per share over the past four quarters. However, analysts remain cautious about the upcoming earnings season, as highlighted by the anticipated decline in FFO per share.

The consensus EPS estimate for SPG has been slightly revised upwards by 0.1% over the past 30 days, indicating a reevaluation by analysts. This adjustment is crucial as it often correlates with the short-term price performance of a stock. Investors closely monitor these consensus earnings and revenue estimates as they prepare for the company's earnings announcement.

In its previous earnings release, SPG reported earnings of $3.22 per share, surpassing the consensus estimate of $3.09. The company achieved a return on equity of 79.3% and a net margin of 38.18%. With a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of approximately 27.79 and a debt-to-equity ratio of roughly 11.20, SPG's financial metrics reflect its market valuation and leverage.