FMP
May 19, 2025
Trip.com Group Limited (NASDAQ:TCOM) is a prominent travel service provider, offering a variety of services such as accommodation reservations, transportation ticketing, and corporate travel management. The company operates under well-known brands like Ctrip, Qunar, Trip.com, and Skyscanner, serving both domestic and international markets. Founded in 1999 and based in Singapore, Trip.com has become a key player in the travel industry.
The consensus price target for Trip.com has remained stable at $79.67 over the past month and quarter, indicating a consistent outlook from analysts. This stability suggests confidence in the company's performance despite recent stock price declines. The price target has increased from $74.01 a year ago, reflecting a positive shift in analyst sentiment, possibly due to improved business performance or favorable market conditions.
Trip.com's recent stock price decline is seen as unjustified, given the company's strong revenue growth and improved operating and net margins. The travel and tourism market in China, Trip.com's key market, is experiencing significant growth, offering substantial revenue potential. This growth provides a competitive advantage over competitors focused on slower-growing regions. Analyst Ellie Jiang from Macquarie has set a price target of $75.40 for Trip.com.
Trip.com reported robust fourth-quarter results, with a 23% year-over-year revenue growth. However, investments in international markets have impacted margins, leading to a dip in US shares, while Hong Kong shares have increased. Analysts recommend buying on the dip, citing promising international expansion and reasonable margin traction as key factors. Trip.com is valued at 15 times its forward EBITDA, suggesting a price of $79 per share, representing a 37% upside.
The company's recent earnings call featured key participants like CEO Jane Sun and CFO Cindy Wang, discussing financial performance and strategic direction. Trip.com achieved quarterly earnings of $0.60 per share, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.52 per share. This performance marks an improvement from the previous year's earnings of $0.56 per share, reinforcing the positive outlook for the company's stock.
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