FMP
May 13, 2025
Global pharmaceutical shares opened mixed on Monday after President Trump signed an executive order to cut U.S. prescription drug prices by 30%-80%—aligning them with the lowest prices paid in other high-income countries. While U.S. drugmakers recovered losses as the market had largely anticipated the move, European and Asian names trading heavily on U.S. revenues saw renewed swings.
“Most-Favored-Nation” Pricing: Forces Medicare Part B and D to pay no more than the lowest price any comparable nation pays for the same drug.
Trump's Rationale: U.S. has <5% of global population but generates ~75% of Big Pharma's revenues.
Immediate Impact:
Novo Nordisk (NVO): -1% at open, recovered later
Eli Lilly (LLY): Flat on the day, off session lows
U.S. Innovators (BMY, PFE, MRK): +2%-4% following the open as the move was widely telegraphed
Analysts at Vital Knowledge warn:
“It's unclear if the order covers all government sales or just select programs[,] and it will face significant legal and political pushback. This aggressive move is broadly negative for the pharma/biotech sector.”
As brokers reassess price targets and recommendations, you can monitor real-time rating changes for major drugmakers—both U.S. and global—using the Bulk Ratings API, which aggregates upgrades and downgrades across the pharmaceutical universe:
See Live Pharma Analyst Rating Changes
Regulatory Clarifications: HHS and CMS guidance on which drugs and purchase programs are covered will be critical.
Legal Challenges: Lawsuits from industry groups could delay implementation and influence stock swings.
Earnings Commentary: Q2 calls will reveal management's updated pricing, volume, and margin assumptions—key for forecasting 2025 guidance.
By combining real-time analyst rating feeds with upcoming regulatory milestones, investors can navigate the heightened volatility and identify which pharmaceutical franchises are best positioned to withstand the pricing overhaul.
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