Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis Levered

Arcosa, Inc. (ACA)

$63.21

+2.66 (+4.39%)

All numbers are in Millions, Currency in USD

Stock DCF: 122.45 | 63.21 | undervalue

Free Cash Flow

Year A/P	2017 Actual	2018 Actual	2019 Actual	2020 Actual	2021 Actual	2022 Projected	2023 Projected	2024 Projected	2025 Projected	2026 Projected
Revenue	1,462.40	1,460.40	1,736.90	1,935.60	2,036.40	2,216.85	2,413.28	2,627.12	2,859.91	3,113.33
Revenue (%)
Operating Cash Flow	162	118.50	358.80	259.90	166.50	272.46	296.61	322.89	351.50	382.65
Operating Cash Flow (%)
Capital Expenditure	-82.40	-44.80	-85.40	-82.10	-85.10	-97.72	-106.38	-115.80	-126.06	-137.23
Capital Expenditure (%)
Free Cash Flow	79.60	73.70	273.40	177.80	81.40	174.75	190.23	207.09	225.44	245.41

Weighted Average Cost Of Capital

Share price	$ 63.21
Beta	0.497
Diluted Shares Outstanding	48.50
Cost of Debt
Tax Rate	16.75
After-tax Cost of Debt	2.86%
Risk-Free Rate
Market Risk Premium
Cost of Equity	5.963
Total Debt	679.50
Total Equity	3,065.68
Total Capital	3,745.18
Debt Weighting	18.14
Equity Weighting	81.86
Wacc

Build Up Free Cash Flow

Year A/P	2017 Actual	2018 Actual	2019 Actual	2020 Actual	2021 Actual	2022 Projected	2023 Projected	2024 Projected	2025 Projected	2026 Projected
Revenue	1,462.40	1,460.40	1,736.90	1,935.60	2,036.40	2,216.85	2,413.28	2,627.12	2,859.91	3,113.33
Operating Cash Flow	162	118.50	358.80	259.90	166.50	272.46	296.61	322.89	351.50	382.65
Capital Expenditure	-82.40	-44.80	-85.40	-82.10	-85.10	-97.72	-106.38	-115.80	-126.06	-137.23
Free Cash Flow	79.60	73.70	273.40	177.80	81.40	174.75	190.23	207.09	225.44	245.41
WACC
PV LFCF						165.79	171.24	176.86	182.67	188.67
SUM PV LFCF										885.23

Terminal Value

Growth in perpetuity method:
Long-term growth rate
WACC (%)	5.40
Free cash flow (t + 1)	250.32
Terminal Value	7,362.41
Present Value of Terminal Value	5,660

Intrinsic Value

Enterprise Value	6,545.23
Net Debt	606.60
Equity Value	5,938.63
Shares Outstanding	48.50
Equity Value Per Share	122.45