Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis Levered

Agnico Eagle Mines Limited (AEM)

$48.58

-0.47 (-0.96%)
All numbers are in Millions, Currency in USD
Stock DCF: 23.66 | 48.58 | overvalue

Free Cash Flow

Year
A/P
2018
Actual
2019
Actual
2020
Actual
2021
Actual
2022
Actual
2023
Projected
2024
Projected
2025
Projected
2026
Projected
2027
Projected
Revenue 2,191.222,494.893,138.113,823.885,741.167,343.419,392.8312,014.1915,367.1319,655.81
Revenue (%)
Operating Cash Flow 605.65881.691,192.051,315.992,096.642,524.673,229.264,130.495,283.246,757.69
Operating Cash Flow (%)
Capital Expenditure -1,089.10-882.66-759.34-917.68-1,538.24-2,350.94-3,007.04-3,846.25-4,919.66-6,292.65
Capital Expenditure (%)
Free Cash Flow -483.45-0.97432.71398.31558.40173.74222.23284.24363.57465.04

Weighted Average Cost Of Capital

Share price $ 48.58
Beta 0.840
Diluted Shares Outstanding 244.73
Cost of Debt
Tax Rate 39.91
After-tax Cost of Debt 3.33%
Risk-Free Rate
Market Risk Premium
Cost of Equity 8.506
Total Debt 1,493.41
Total Equity 11,889.08
Total Capital 13,382.49
Debt Weighting 11.16
Equity Weighting 88.84
Wacc

Build Up Free Cash Flow

Year
A/P
2018
Actual
2019
Actual
2020
Actual
2021
Actual
2022
Actual
2023
Projected
2024
Projected
2025
Projected
2026
Projected
2027
Projected
Revenue 2,191.222,494.893,138.113,823.885,741.167,343.419,392.8312,014.1915,367.1319,655.81
Operating Cash Flow 605.65881.691,192.051,315.992,096.642,524.673,229.264,130.495,283.246,757.69
Capital Expenditure -1,089.10-882.66-759.34-917.68-1,538.24-2,350.94-3,007.04-3,846.25-4,919.66-6,292.65
Free Cash Flow -483.45-0.97432.71398.31558.40173.74222.23284.24363.57465.04
WACC
PV LFCF 160.97190.77226.08267.93317.53
SUM PV LFCF 1,163.28

Terminal Value

Growth in perpetuity method:
Long-term growth rate
WACC (%) 7.93
Free cash flow (t + 1) 474.34
Terminal Value 7,998.98
Present Value of Terminal Value 5,461.65

Intrinsic Value

Enterprise Value 6,624.93
Net Debt 834.79
Equity Value 5,790.14
Shares Outstanding 244.73
Equity Value Per Share 23.66